{"id": "2020-12-24-gdelt-c-teu", "slug": "2020-argentine-port-strike-delays-grain-ships", "url": "/incidents/2020-argentine-port-strike-delays-grain-ships/", "label": "Argentine port strike delays grain ships", "summary": "More than 100 grain cargo ships were delayed at Argentine ports due to a strike by port workers in late December 2020. The incident disrupted cargo operations and highlighted supply chain vulnerabilities during the holiday season.", "incident_type": "other", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["bulk carrier", "cargo ship"], "location": "Argentina", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2020-12-24", "peak_level": 46.109, "peak_level_date": "2020-12-23", "onset_date": "2020-12-23", "end_date": "2020-12-24", "duration_days": 2, "composite": {"excess_area": 0.0, "highest_since": "2020-12-23", "peak": 46.109, "peak_z": -0.3933129100710885, "percentile_of_peak_day": 8.8499, "rank_of_peak_day": 2133}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 3.5520000000000067, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.24618389057021783, "share_at_peak": 0.05569600560071623, "share_of_excess": 0.1878321567383202, "share_peak3": 0.22720294749769737}, "research": {"excess": 10.239000000000004, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.707416061336741, "share_at_peak": 0.9443039943992838, "share_of_excess": 0.8121678432616798, "share_peak3": 0.7727970525023026}, "search": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -1.3163939502119801, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.8228162696670603, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "public-curiosity-led", "verdict_at_peak": "public-curiosity-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.9596199524940617, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": -0.2055350762454219, "c_tanker": 0.053242157820377486, "c_teu": 16.491390669874747, "c_vessel": 0.3265880699436921}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.6926926926926927, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.7454909819639278, "peak_z": -0.9307118945975715}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 1.1182495344506518, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.373134328358209, "peak_z": 1.019786335246251}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.7726775956284153, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.8034807831762146, "peak_z": -0.5920807555926169}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.7334254143646409, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.8370165745856354, "peak_z": -0.6018425881160557}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.6981658692185008, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.7454110135674381, "peak_z": -0.8250834498850894}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.7189043556353839, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.7912578055307761, "peak_z": -0.6574807005706468}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.6926926926926927, "peak_z": -0.9307118945975715}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.7663755458515283, "peak_z": -0.6077340661281966}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.6244541484716157, "peak_z": -0.7885364258016989}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.7940682708449917, "peak_z": -0.6020689962501524}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.7352941176470589, "peak_z": 0.012860268215554025}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.7639484978540773, "peak_z": -0.8341302496446127}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.6193633952254642, "peak_z": -1.4184555836645636}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.7492836676217765, "peak_z": -0.6829414507755895}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 1.1182495344506518, "peak_z": 1.019786335246251}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.7150668286755771, "peak_z": -0.7279009773495899}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.9385964912280702, "peak_z": 0.6364415466213765}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.7018739352640545, "peak_z": -0.8280165546570437}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 0, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": null, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2020-12-23", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 51.448}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "medium", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (8/145 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms", "coverage panel is based on only 8 articles (< 30) \u2014 directional, not precise"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": true, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.0, "freight_markets": 0.625, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.0, "human_drama": 0.0, "pollution_event": 0.0, "safety_failure": 0.0, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.375, "technology_frontier": 0.0}, "buckets": {"people": 0.0, "planet": 0.0, "politics": 0.0, "price": 1.0, "progress": 0.0}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.25, "mostly acted upon": 0.125, "mostly actor": 0.625, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.0}, "acted_upon_share": 0.25, "trade_share": 0.0, "strongly_negative_share": 0.0, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2020-12-21", "source": "reuters.com", "tier": "core", "title": "UPDATE 2-More than 100 grains cargo ships delayed by Argentine port workers strike"}, {"date": "2020-12-21", "source": "zawya.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "More than 100 grains cargo ships delayed by Argentine port workers strike"}, {"date": "2020-12-22", "source": "marinelink.com", "tier": 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