{"id": "2020-12-05-gdelt-c-vessel", "slug": "2020-cargo-ship-attacked-off-yemen-coast", "url": "/incidents/2020-cargo-ship-attacked-off-yemen-coast/", "label": "Cargo ship attacked off Yemen coast", "summary": "A cargo ship was attacked off the Yemen coast in early December 2020. UK Maritime Trade Operations confirmed awareness of the incident on December 5, though circumstances remained unclear. The attack occurred amid ongoing regional maritime security concerns.", "incident_type": "attack", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["cargo ship"], "location": "off Yemen coast", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2020-12-05", "peak_level": 55.838, "peak_level_date": "2020-12-09", "onset_date": "2020-12-05", "end_date": "2020-12-09", "duration_days": 5, "composite": {"excess_area": 13.213000000000001, "highest_since": "2020-09-26", "peak": 55.838, "peak_z": 0.38512803618778074, "percentile_of_peak_day": 47.0286, "rank_of_peak_day": 1240}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 44.06500000000001, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.6833269776955511, "share_at_peak": 0.7201664377474347, "share_of_excess": 0.38991175774414844, "share_peak3": 0.5801269554096418}, "research": {"excess": 30.754000000000005, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 1.1835508846190712, "share_at_peak": 0.2798335622525653, "share_of_excess": 0.4081928808917578, "share_peak3": 0.4198730445903583}, "search": {"excess": 3.6045000000000016, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.212842971993693, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.04784194703694939, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 17.409999999999997, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.39209140208766113, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.15405341432714448, "share_peak3": 0.0}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "low", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "mixed", "verdict_at_peak": "media-led", "verdicts_disagree": true}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.08333333333333333, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.4845168179391351, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 0.8106086618395691, "c_tanker": 0.8785387703438355, "c_teu": 5.303576732160593, "c_vessel": 10.940452694058798}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.9464788732394366, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0929292929292929, "peak_z": 0.2563189738594538}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 1.0996254681647941, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.580827067669173, "peak_z": 1.4726975942738276}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 1.2605349945034812, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.66984592809978, "peak_z": 1.4165929531443118}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.9350069735006974, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.1229050279329609, "peak_z": 0.3594522862065174}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 1.1035905901774659, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.3654485049833887, "peak_z": 0.8172470434716885}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.9320388349514563, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0282436010591351, "peak_z": 0.07912947172198051}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.9464788732394366, "peak_z": 0.2563189738594538}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.0531868131868132, "peak_z": 0.6927454913592305}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.9429864253393665, "peak_z": 1.019120984938733}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.3918115535614133, "peak_z": 1.9653012196157236}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.9264069264069265, "peak_z": 0.8487772197826345}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.9793991416309012, "peak_z": 0.5022032481806363}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.348, "peak_z": 2.3630970475068316}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.9229268292682927, "peak_z": 0.09378204211094382}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 1.0996254681647941, "peak_z": 1.4726975942738276}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9922885572139304, "peak_z": 0.3569976302638788}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.182456140350877, "peak_z": 1.3313341871213142}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 1.021516754850088, "peak_z": 0.5422803475192511}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 4, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 3, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2020-12-09", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 48.23}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "medium", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "integrated and peak-day verdicts differ (smoothing artefact likely)", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (80/327 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.025, "freight_markets": 0.0625, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.8, "human_drama": 0.0, "pollution_event": 0.0375, "safety_failure": 0.05, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0125, "technology_frontier": 0.0125}, "buckets": {"people": 0.05391304347826083, "planet": 0.04695652173913041, "politics": 0.7791304347826088, "price": 0.08347826086956518, "progress": 0.03652173913043475}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.85, "mostly acted upon": 0.0625, "mostly actor": 0.0875, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.0}, "acted_upon_share": 0.85, "trade_share": 0.0, "strongly_negative_share": 0.0, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2020-12-05", "source": "reuters.com", "tier": "core", "title": "UK Maritime Trade Operations says aware of attack on vessel off Yemen coast"}, {"date": "2020-12-05", "source": "apnews.com", "tier": "core", "title": "Cargo ship attacked off Yemen under unclear circumstances"}, {"date": "2020-12-05", "source": "naharnet.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Vessel Attacked off Yemen Coast: UK Maritime Trade Authority"}, {"date": "2020-12-05", "source": "thesundaily.my", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "UPDATE 1-UK Maritime Trade Operations says aware of attack on vessel off Yemen coast"}, {"date": "2020-12-05", "source": "thenationalnews.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Cargo ship attacked off Yemen's coast"}, {"date": "2020-12-05", "source": "castanet.net", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Cargo ship attacked off Yemen under unclear circumstances - World News"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2020-11-21", "2020-11-22", "2020-11-23", "2020-11-24", "2020-11-25", "2020-11-26", "2020-11-27", "2020-11-28", "2020-11-29", "2020-11-30", "2020-12-01", "2020-12-02", "2020-12-03", "2020-12-04", "2020-12-05", "2020-12-06", "2020-12-07", "2020-12-08", "2020-12-09", "2020-12-10", "2020-12-11", "2020-12-12", "2020-12-13", "2020-12-14", "2020-12-15", 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