{"id": "2020-07-02-gdelt-c-teu", "slug": "2020-pirates-kidnap-nine-off-nigeria", "url": "/incidents/2020-pirates-kidnap-nine-off-nigeria/", "label": "Pirates kidnap nine off Nigeria", "summary": "Pirates attacked a vessel off Nigeria on July 2, 2020, kidnapping nine people according to the ship owner. The incident occurred during a period of elevated media attention to seafarer welfare and maritime freight markets.", "incident_type": "piracy", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": [], "location": "off Nigeria", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2020-07-02", "peak_level": 51.27, "peak_level_date": "2020-07-02", "onset_date": "2020-07-01", "end_date": "2020-07-02", "duration_days": 2, "composite": {"excess_area": 0.0, "highest_since": "2020-06-30", "peak": 51.27, "peak_z": -0.26499523084277565, "percentile_of_peak_day": 29.4998, "rank_of_peak_day": 1650}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 21.96999999999999, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 1.1129569890091702, "share_at_peak": 1.0, "share_of_excess": 1.0, "share_peak3": 1.0}, "research": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.844456492133526, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "search": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.4906295135776312, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.13379733930456916, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "media-led", "verdict_at_peak": "media-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.6388888888888888, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 5.018172946660112, "c_tanker": 2.315675288346292, "c_teu": 28.640724247762922, "c_vessel": -0.1972137656163636}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.8426966292134831, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.8800904977375565, "peak_z": -0.42905958842227454}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9463722397476341, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 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-0.01831073760751833}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.9888888888888889, "peak_z": 0.49567067883864885}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.9240246406570842, "peak_z": -0.16863337842658435}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.8616236162361623, "peak_z": -0.44654856334129317}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.6147058823529412, "peak_z": -1.1666793793138275}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.9463722397476341, "peak_z": -0.058291163473425764}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.7992448080553808, "peak_z": -0.6140789480745444}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.75, "peak_z": -0.7249056361512622}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.6705298013245033, "peak_z": -1.2334817014497477}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 0, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": null, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2020-07-02", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 54.936}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "medium", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (27/239 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms", "coverage panel is based on only 27 articles (< 30) \u2014 directional, not precise"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": true, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.48148148148148145, "freight_markets": 0.1111111111111111, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.037037037037037035, "human_drama": 0.2222222222222222, "pollution_event": 0.0, "safety_failure": 0.0, "seafarer_victim": 0.14814814814814814, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.0}, "buckets": {"people": 0.38020833333333337, "planet": 0.0, "politics": 0.036458333333333336, "price": 0.10937499999999999, "progress": 0.4739583333333333}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.3333333333333333, "mostly acted upon": 0.1111111111111111, "mostly actor": 0.5185185185185185, "neutral": 0.037037037037037035, "primary actor": 0.0}, "acted_upon_share": 0.3333333333333333, "trade_share": 0.037037037037037035, "strongly_negative_share": 0.3333333333333333, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2020-07-02", "source": "reuters.com", "tier": "core", "title": "Pirates kidnap nine in attack on vessel off Nigeria, says ship owner"}, {"date": "2020-07-02", "source": "reuters.com", "tier": "core", "title": "UPDATE 1-Pirates kidnap nine in attack on vessel off Nigeria, says ship owner"}, {"date": "2020-07-02", "source": 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