{"id": "2020-10-06-gdelt-c-teu", "slug": "2020-port-sudan-terminal-blocked-iranian-tanker-docks-venezuela", "url": "/incidents/2020-port-sudan-terminal-blocked-iranian-tanker-docks-venezuela/", "label": "Port Sudan terminal blocked; Iranian tanker docks Venezuela", "summary": "Multiple maritime events during this window: Port Sudan's container terminal was blocked by protesters over a peace deal dispute (Oct 4); a third Iranian tanker docked at a Venezuelan port amid fuel supply discussions (Oct 5); a container vessel fuel leak was contained at a New Jersey terminal (Oct 4); and a container ship ran aground in South America (Oct 4). The spike reflects mixed attention across freight markets, seafarer issues, and trade disruptions rather than a single dominant incident.", "incident_type": "other", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["container ship", "tanker"], "location": null, "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2020-10-06", "peak_level": 49.296, "peak_level_date": "2020-10-05", "onset_date": "2020-10-05", "end_date": "2020-10-12", "duration_days": 8, "composite": {"excess_area": 0.0, "highest_since": "2020-10-05", "peak": 49.296, "peak_z": -0.4139813154077209, "percentile_of_peak_day": 20.8636, "rank_of_peak_day": 1852}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.4005682072682107, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "research": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.21236993452547942, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "search": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.4444638365621617, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.5293200797583293, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "low", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "mixed", "verdict_at_peak": "mixed", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.16666666666666666, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.2820014325181623, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 0.8964936164209281, "c_tanker": 3.769084564473383, "c_teu": 13.982054033875603, "c_vessel": 2.6917869614916037}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0867403314917128, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.3015521064301552, "peak_z": 0.7642152842253491}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 1.0686274509803921, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.237006237006237, "peak_z": 0.6631601685415457}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 1.0434952978056427, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.135326514555468, "peak_z": 0.2996915136871167}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0278649921507064, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.221875, "peak_z": 0.7092928242874027}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 1.3240976105744788, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.4902564102564102, "peak_z": 1.0822466355245097}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0367438563327032, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.1848341232227488, "peak_z": 0.48260989067849513}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0867403314917128, "peak_z": 0.7642152842253491}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.08125, "peak_z": 0.7344369649960928}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.611842105263158, "peak_z": 2.3758561379091456}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.0090569292696951, "peak_z": 0.3014528001458256}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0947368421052632, "peak_z": 1.4464375115043375}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0061936936936937, "peak_z": 0.8286772450757495}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.5584763948497855, "peak_z": 2.213626173257828}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.9561711079943899, "peak_z": 0.12937440771550848}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 1.0686274509803921, "peak_z": 0.6631601685415457}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.2548456568557071, "peak_z": 1.017248464091444}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.1526548672566372, "peak_z": 1.8120255583346039}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 1.1254807692307693, "peak_z": 1.067527474225946}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 0, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": null, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2020-10-05", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 55.997}, "attribution": {"alternatives": ["Port Sudan container terminal blocked by protesters", "Iranian tanker docks at Venezuelan port", "Container vessel fuel leak at New Jersey terminal", "Container ship aground in South America"], "confidence": "low", "single_cause": false}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "naming step found more than one plausible cause in the headlines (alternatives: ['Port Sudan container terminal blocked by protesters', 'Iranian tanker docks at Venezuelan port', 'Container vessel fuel leak at New Jersey terminal', 'Container ship aground in South America']) \u2014 attribution.confidence is low; label may be an honest compound", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (33/238 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.09090909090909091, "freight_markets": 0.12121212121212122, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.696969696969697, "human_drama": 0.0, "pollution_event": 0.0, "safety_failure": 0.0, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.09090909090909091}, "buckets": {"people": 0.0, "planet": 0.02409638554216868, "politics": 0.6586345381526104, "price": 0.13654618473895586, "progress": 0.1807228915662651}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.6060606060606061, "mostly acted upon": 0.12121212121212122, "mostly actor": 0.18181818181818182, "neutral": 0.030303030303030304, "primary actor": 0.06060606060606061}, 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