{"id": "2020-07-25-gdelt-c-industry", "slug": "2020-seafarers-stranded-amid-covid-19-crew-change-crisis", "url": "/incidents/2020-seafarers-stranded-amid-covid-19-crew-change-crisis/", "label": "Seafarers stranded amid COVID-19 crew change crisis", "summary": "A spike in maritime industry attention driven by news coverage of the global seafarer crisis during the COVID-19 pandemic. Hundreds of thousands of seafarers were stranded on ships unable to sign off or return home due to port closures and travel restrictions. The crisis affected crew changes, mental health, and repatriation efforts across the shipping industry, with multiple organizations and governments working to address the situation.", "incident_type": "labour", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": [], "location": null, "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2020-07-25", "peak_level": 55.057, "peak_level_date": "2020-07-25", "onset_date": "2020-07-23", "end_date": "2020-07-27", "duration_days": 5, "composite": {"excess_area": 1.4085000000000036, "highest_since": "2020-07-20", "peak": 55.057, "peak_z": 0.12722458930008315, "percentile_of_peak_day": 44.8055, "rank_of_peak_day": 1292}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 62.1325, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 1.42118551955744, "share_at_peak": 1.0, "share_of_excess": 1.0, "share_peak3": 1.0}, "research": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.28258626978630025, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "search": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.09044835838485679, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.4005486151227845, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "media-led", "verdict_at_peak": "media-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.08333333333333333, "breadth": 0.16666666666666666, "concentration": 0.7163876204972095, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 9.492552400871629, "c_tanker": -0.014078890481559189, "c_teu": 2.7407434814859384, "c_vessel": 5.842896158028791}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.8680142687277052, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.1187648456057007, "peak_z": 0.4066602166490575}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9020277481323372, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0170212765957447, "peak_z": 0.08959434573241953}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.9703529411764706, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0462962962962963, "peak_z": 0.1909972890221669}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.2617737003058105, "lifted": true, "peak_multiple": 3.1646341463414633, "peak_z": 3.9933049142989994}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.9305201177625123, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9873908826382153, "peak_z": 0.00851833576058683}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.788470066518847, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.903056768558952, "peak_z": -0.2745166821078328}}, "groups_lifted": 1, "lead_group": "Gas carriers", "verdict": "isolated", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.8680142687277052, "peak_z": 0.4066602166490575}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9427906976744186, "peak_z": 0.3239315174337401}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.7506493506493507, "peak_z": 0.13353047241484547}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9808962264150943, "peak_z": 0.17629374073518905}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.8777142857142857, "peak_z": 0.632681502436417}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.4474137931034483, "peak_z": 5.129722555036756}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.8186612576064909, "peak_z": -0.40376763558584317}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.7460534493474208, "peak_z": -0.4795388962698548}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.9020277481323372, "peak_z": 0.08959434573241953}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9634831460674157, "peak_z": 0.10078869139400848}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.94375, "peak_z": 0.15614646090082104}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.8587360594795539, "peak_z": 0.24765962638852285}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 3, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 1, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2020-07-25", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 51.207}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (141/349 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.050724637681159424, "freight_markets": 0.0, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.007246376811594203, "human_drama": 0.043478260869565216, 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{"date": "2020-07-22", "source": "splash247.com", "tier": "trade", "title": "Singapore warns crew coronavirus tests are being tampered with as HK reviews its seafarer stance -"}, {"date": "2020-07-26", "source": "cnnphilippines.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "SONA 2020: Nurses, seafarers groups call on Duterte to prioritize workers' sector amid COVID-19 pandemic"}, {"date": "2020-07-21", "source": "capetalk.co.za", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Fears for mental health of 1000s of seafarers stranded on ships due to Covid-19"}, {"date": "2020-07-22", "source": "yahoo.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Certif-ID Joins Forces with TUV Rheinland Philippines and Multiple Government Agencies to Support Seafarers Impacted by COVID-19"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2020-07-09", "2020-07-10", "2020-07-11", "2020-07-12", "2020-07-13", "2020-07-14", "2020-07-15", "2020-07-16", "2020-07-17", "2020-07-18", "2020-07-19", 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