{"id": "2021-09-16-wiki-lng-carrier", "slug": "2021-ever-ace-maiden-voyage-to-suez-canal", "url": "/incidents/2021-ever-ace-maiden-voyage-to-suez-canal/", "label": "Ever Ace maiden voyage to Suez Canal", "summary": "The Ever Ace, sister ship of the Ever Given and the world's largest container vessel, completed its maiden voyage and arrived at the Port of Felixstowe in mid-September 2021, with subsequent reporting on its planned transit through the Suez Canal. The spike reflects public curiosity about the vessel and broader shipping industry developments including LNG carrier projects, freight rate negotiations, and net-zero shipping targets.", "incident_type": "other", "vessels": ["Ever Ace"], "vessel_types": ["container ship"], "location": "Port of Felixstowe, Suez Canal", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2021-09-16", "peak_level": 59.998, "peak_level_date": "2021-09-16", "onset_date": "2021-09-15", "end_date": "2021-09-17", "duration_days": 3, "composite": {"excess_area": 20.82949999999999, "highest_since": "2021-09-10", "peak": 59.998, "peak_z": 0.7029397660890337, "percentile_of_peak_day": 55.4938, "rank_of_peak_day": 1042}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 35.73450000000001, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.7472810244534601, "share_at_peak": 0.28071729787882815, "share_of_excess": 0.2979830513774665, "share_peak3": 0.2979830513774665}, "research": {"excess": 43.153, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 1.7118979009401245, "share_at_peak": 0.5683498351733698, "share_of_excess": 0.5397667219112541, "share_peak3": 0.5397667219112541}, "search": {"excess": 12.971500000000013, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.5197487312314821, "share_at_peak": 0.15093286694780209, "share_of_excess": 0.1622502267112794, "share_peak3": 0.1622502267112794}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.11323518174069813, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "public-curiosity-led", "verdict_at_peak": "public-curiosity-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.08333333333333333, "breadth": 0.16666666666666666, "concentration": 0.4041576673866091, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 0.9135929857405303, "c_tanker": 0.9992030468987233, "c_teu": 1.8145090095019796, "c_vessel": 5.371097977269036}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.3795888399412628, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.6497797356828194, "peak_z": 1.6331748389609138}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 1.0173713536545395, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0887573964497042, "peak_z": 0.27887554557466226}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 1.1660974067046173, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.2589763177998472, "peak_z": 0.6227393093451468}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 2.7378531073446326, "lifted": true, "peak_multiple": 5.033898305084746, "peak_z": 5.670937957100656}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 1.162586884255062, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.240506329113924, "peak_z": 0.6224389070701735}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 1.1050912584053794, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.207612456747405, "peak_z": 0.5552808181947615}}, "groups_lifted": 1, "lead_group": "Gas carriers", "verdict": "isolated", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.3795888399412628, "peak_z": 1.6331748389609138}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.1071878940731399, "peak_z": 0.9040839521793067}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.109619686800895, "peak_z": 0.9790610371252193}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.217906030336663, "peak_z": 0.6597671136996952}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.1409618573797677, "peak_z": 0.6744907594765952}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 3.5813953488372094, "peak_z": 7.38858573204019}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.3388704318936877, "peak_z": 1.5266887711469803}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.0703309692671394, "peak_z": 0.28299441573406153}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 1.0173713536545395, "peak_z": 0.27887554557466226}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.1207598371777476, "peak_z": 0.4350238101473238}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.935672514619883, "peak_z": -0.08566426208517773}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 1.2184936614466815, "peak_z": 1.3666812641749948}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 3, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 2, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2021-09-16", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 49.987}, "attribution": {"alternatives": ["Ever Ace maiden voyage arrival", "LNG carrier development projects", "Shipping industry freight rate and net-zero policy discussions"], "confidence": "medium", "single_cause": false}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "naming step found more than one plausible cause in the headlines (alternatives: ['Ever Ace maiden voyage arrival', 'LNG carrier development projects', 'Shipping industry freight rate and net-zero policy discussions']) \u2014 attribution.confidence is low; label may be an honest compound", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (66/315 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.203125, "freight_markets": 0.34375, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.0, "human_drama": 0.03125, "pollution_event": 0.0, "safety_failure": 0.015625, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.1875, "technology_frontier": 0.21875}, "buckets": {"people": 0.04061895551257254, "planet": 0.05802707930367506, "politics": 0.0, "price": 0.46034816247582194, "progress": 0.4410058027079304}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.03125, "mostly acted upon": 0.21875, "mostly actor": 0.71875, "neutral": 0.03125, "primary actor": 0.0}, "acted_upon_share": 0.03125, "trade_share": 0.046875, "strongly_negative_share": 0.0, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2021-09-13", "source": "bbc.co.uk", "tier": "core", "title": "Felixstowe arrival of largest container ship Ever Ace caught on drone"}, {"date": "2021-09-13", "source": "yahoo.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "The world's biggest container ship, the Ever Ace, is continuing its maiden voyage this week and soon heading for the Suez Canal"}, {"date": "2021-09-13", "source": "businessinsider.co.za", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "The world's biggest container ship, Ever Ace, continuing its maiden voyage, heading for Suez Canal soon"}, {"date": "2021-09-13", "source": "marineinsight.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Port Of Felixstowe Welcomes World's Largest Container Ship 'Ever Ace'"}, {"date": "2021-09-16", "source": "hellenicshippingnews.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "World's largest container ship Ever Ace leaves Felixstowe | Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide"}, {"date": "2021-09-13", "source": "the-sun.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "World's largest cargo ship Ever Ace arrives in the UK packed with Christmas gifts"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2021-09-01", "2021-09-02", "2021-09-03", "2021-09-04", "2021-09-05", "2021-09-06", "2021-09-07", "2021-09-08", "2021-09-09", "2021-09-10", "2021-09-11", "2021-09-12", "2021-09-13", "2021-09-14", "2021-09-15", "2021-09-16", "2021-09-17", "2021-09-18", "2021-09-19", "2021-09-20", "2021-09-21", "2021-09-22", "2021-09-23", "2021-09-24", "2021-09-25", "2021-09-26", "2021-09-27", "2021-09-28", "2021-09-29", "2021-09-30", "2021-10-01", "2021-10-02", "2021-10-03", "2021-10-04", "2021-10-05", "2021-10-06", "2021-10-07", "2021-10-08", "2021-10-09", "2021-10-10", "2021-10-11", "2021-10-12", "2021-10-13", "2021-10-14", "2021-10-15", "2021-10-16", "2021-10-17"], "ratio": [1.31, 1.44, 1.32, 0.8, 0.87, 1.38, 1.31, 1.63, 1.75, 1.39, 0.88, 0.99, 1.36, 1.64, 1.65, 1.27, 1.22, 0.84, 0.82, 1.41, 1.42, 1.48, 1.33, 1.15, 0.96, 0.87, 1.48, 1.37, 1.52, 1.39, 1.22, 0.92, 0.92, 1.41, 1.44, 1.59, 1.49, 1.49, 0.97, 0.9, 1.49, 1.45, 1.32, 1.27, 1.22, 1.02, 0.94], "peak_ratio": 1.65, "baseline_views": 454.0}, "Cargo ship": {"dates": ["2021-09-01", "2021-09-02", "2021-09-03", "2021-09-04", "2021-09-05", "2021-09-06", "2021-09-07", "2021-09-08", "2021-09-09", "2021-09-10", "2021-09-11", "2021-09-12", "2021-09-13", "2021-09-14", "2021-09-15", "2021-09-16", "2021-09-17", "2021-09-18", "2021-09-19", "2021-09-20", "2021-09-21", "2021-09-22", "2021-09-23", "2021-09-24", "2021-09-25", "2021-09-26", "2021-09-27", "2021-09-28", "2021-09-29", "2021-09-30", "2021-10-01", "2021-10-02", "2021-10-03", "2021-10-04", "2021-10-05", "2021-10-06", "2021-10-07", "2021-10-08", "2021-10-09", "2021-10-10", 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"2021-10-09", "2021-10-10", "2021-10-11", "2021-10-12", "2021-10-13", "2021-10-14", "2021-10-15", "2021-10-16", "2021-10-17"], "ratio": [1.47, 1.63, 1.08, 1.08, 0.63, 1.41, 1.23, 1.64, 1.61, 1.55, 1.16, 1.03, 1.24, 1.05, 0.8, 1.41, 1.09, 0.73, 0.56, 1.43, 1.31, 1.41, 1.03, 1.28, 1.08, 0.77, 1.47, 1.09, 1.25, 1.23, 1.16, 0.71, 0.73, 1.08, 0.95, 1.56, 1.97, 1.08, 0.68, 1.05, 1.4, 1.13, 1.79, 1.09, 1.0, 0.69, 0.43], "peak_ratio": 1.41, "baseline_views": 75.0}, "Container ship": {"dates": ["2021-09-01", "2021-09-02", "2021-09-03", "2021-09-04", "2021-09-05", "2021-09-06", "2021-09-07", "2021-09-08", "2021-09-09", "2021-09-10", "2021-09-11", "2021-09-12", "2021-09-13", "2021-09-14", "2021-09-15", "2021-09-16", "2021-09-17", "2021-09-18", "2021-09-19", "2021-09-20", "2021-09-21", "2021-09-22", "2021-09-23", "2021-09-24", "2021-09-25", "2021-09-26", "2021-09-27", "2021-09-28", "2021-09-29", "2021-09-30", "2021-10-01", "2021-10-02", "2021-10-03", "2021-10-04", "2021-10-05", "2021-10-06", 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"2021-09-12", "2021-09-13", "2021-09-14", "2021-09-15", "2021-09-16", "2021-09-17", "2021-09-18", "2021-09-19", "2021-09-20", "2021-09-21", "2021-09-22", "2021-09-23", "2021-09-24", "2021-09-25", "2021-09-26", "2021-09-27", "2021-09-28", "2021-09-29", "2021-09-30", "2021-10-01", "2021-10-02", "2021-10-03", "2021-10-04", "2021-10-05", "2021-10-06", "2021-10-07", "2021-10-08", "2021-10-09", "2021-10-10", "2021-10-11", "2021-10-12", "2021-10-13", "2021-10-14", "2021-10-15", "2021-10-16", "2021-10-17"], "ratio": [1.12, 1.04, 0.98, 0.74, 0.85, 1.54, 1.12, 1.22, 1.34, 1.01, 0.87, 0.87, 1.11, 1.0, 1.09, 1.03, 0.95, 0.86, 0.93, 1.31, 1.0, 1.19, 1.17, 1.08, 0.93, 1.0, 1.36, 1.18, 1.49, 1.18, 1.03, 0.83, 0.78, 1.16, 1.06, 1.09, 1.02, 0.95, 0.81, 0.83, 1.23, 1.09, 1.27, 1.02, 0.87, 0.76, 0.97], "peak_ratio": 1.09, "baseline_views": 507.0}, "Gas carriers": {"dates": ["2021-09-01", "2021-09-02", "2021-09-03", "2021-09-04", "2021-09-05", "2021-09-06", "2021-09-07", "2021-09-08", "2021-09-09", "2021-09-10", "2021-09-11", "2021-09-12", "2021-09-13", "2021-09-14", "2021-09-15", "2021-09-16", "2021-09-17", "2021-09-18", "2021-09-19", "2021-09-20", "2021-09-21", "2021-09-22", "2021-09-23", "2021-09-24", "2021-09-25", "2021-09-26", "2021-09-27", "2021-09-28", "2021-09-29", "2021-09-30", "2021-10-01", "2021-10-02", "2021-10-03", "2021-10-04", "2021-10-05", "2021-10-06", "2021-10-07", "2021-10-08", "2021-10-09", "2021-10-10", "2021-10-11", "2021-10-12", "2021-10-13", "2021-10-14", "2021-10-15", "2021-10-16", "2021-10-17"], "ratio": [1.06, 1.15, 1.0, 0.62, 0.84, 1.21, 1.26, 1.39, 1.39, 1.22, 0.85, 0.74, 1.18, 1.19, 1.17, 5.03, 2.01, 0.65, 0.77, 1.35, 1.44, 1.35, 1.2, 1.27, 0.86, 0.97, 1.87, 1.69, 1.71, 1.71, 1.41, 1.08, 0.99, 1.67, 1.45, 1.73, 1.79, 1.61, 1.07, 1.16, 1.65, 1.46, 1.55, 1.65, 1.33, 1.44, 0.98], "peak_ratio": 5.03, "baseline_views": 295.0}, "Shipping in general": {"dates": ["2021-09-01", "2021-09-02", "2021-09-03", "2021-09-04", "2021-09-05", "2021-09-06", 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