{"id": "2021-11-10-gdelt-c-tanker", "slug": "2021-iran-releases-vietnamese-oil-tanker", "url": "/incidents/2021-iran-releases-vietnamese-oil-tanker/", "label": "Iran releases Vietnamese oil tanker", "summary": "Satellite and radio signals indicated that a Vietnamese oil tanker previously seized by Iran in the Gulf of Oman has been freed. Reports suggested Iran had drained oil from the vessel before release.", "incident_type": "seizure", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["oil tanker"], "location": "Gulf of Oman", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2021-11-10", "peak_level": 67.081, "peak_level_date": "2021-11-10", "onset_date": "2021-11-10", "end_date": "2021-11-11", "duration_days": 2, "composite": {"excess_area": 22.025999999999996, "highest_since": "2021-11-09", "peak": 67.081, "peak_z": 0.841454680476724, "percentile_of_peak_day": 66.4386, "rank_of_peak_day": 786}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 20.072999999999993, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.6096473638961092, "share_at_peak": 0.1338538354893519, "share_of_excess": 0.2140629082397103, "share_peak3": 0.15260479431564464}, "research": {"excess": 2.6899999999999906, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.12563075882429459, "share_at_peak": 0.043780555179135386, "share_of_excess": 0.04303013175645037, "share_peak3": 0.04422986889407573}, "search": {"excess": 16.73100000000001, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.6372764267114979, "share_at_peak": 0.28291620193259887, "share_of_excess": 0.267634622459916, "share_peak3": 0.2729849457204235}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 44.56700000000001, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 1.1618523935383138, "share_at_peak": 0.5394494073989138, "share_of_excess": 0.4752723375439233, "share_peak3": 0.5301803910698561}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "low", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "mixed", "verdict_at_peak": "social-led", "verdicts_disagree": true}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.4743709226467847, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 1.3612954173864447, "c_tanker": 7.063510073038612, "c_teu": -0.6744907594765952, "c_vessel": 1.89176472225319}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0111317254174397, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0393258426966292, "peak_z": 0.09295685088932529}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9922027290448343, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.033203125, "peak_z": 0.09822027062967628}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.9412136536030341, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9810366624525917, "peak_z": -0.051942545399774574}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.1175637393767706, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.1704545454545454, "peak_z": 0.5143361918057864}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 1.0685332218972001, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0742285237698082, "peak_z": 0.2077679615736992}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 1.024390243902439, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0702875399361023, "peak_z": 0.18574911975095795}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0111317254174397, "peak_z": 0.09295685088932529}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.0070505287896592, "peak_z": 0.21363899345882117}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.3209876543209877, "peak_z": 1.2108319164680728}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9318980667838312, "peak_z": -0.09625892405919917}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.1724137931034482, "peak_z": 0.4944502128651941}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.121475054229935, "peak_z": 0.5167362769802211}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.3834586466165413, "peak_z": 1.1902584811720494}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.0117548278757347, "peak_z": 0.16602006447635667}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.9922027290448343, "peak_z": 0.09822027062967628}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9566037735849057, "peak_z": -0.08778775726767654}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.9830508474576272, "peak_z": 0.6827072819650872}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 1.0512295081967213, "peak_z": 0.4593963719197874}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 0, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": null, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2021-11-10", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 81.533}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "medium", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "integrated and peak-day verdicts differ (smoothing artefact likely)", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (44/44 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.046511627906976744, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.0, "freight_markets": 0.4186046511627907, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.46511627906976744, "human_drama": 0.0, "pollution_event": 0.0, "safety_failure": 0.023255813953488372, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.046511627906976744}, "buckets": {"people": 0.02302631578947369, "planet": 0.04605263157894738, "politics": 0.4605263157894736, "price": 0.4144736842105263, "progress": 0.05592105263157896}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.46511627906976744, "mostly acted upon": 0.2558139534883721, "mostly actor": 0.09302325581395349, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.18604651162790697}, "acted_upon_share": 0.46511627906976744, "trade_share": 0.11627906976744186, "strongly_negative_share": 0.0, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2021-11-10", "source": "newsweek.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Iran Releases Vietnamese Tanker After Draining Oil From Vessel, Crew's Status Unknown"}, {"date": "2021-11-10", "source": "avaz.ba", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Iran releases Vietnamese tanker seized in Sea of Oman"}, {"date": "2021-11-11", "source": "poandpo.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Iran releases Vietnamese tanker seized in Sea of Oman | News"}, {"date": "2021-11-10", "source": "chron.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Alert: Satellite and radio signals suggest Vietnamese oil tanker earlier seized by Iran has been freed; vessel in Gulf of Oman"}, {"date": "2021-11-10", "source": "sandiegouniontribune.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Satellite and radio signals suggest Vietnamese oil tanker earlier seized by Iran has been freed; vessel in Gulf of Oman"}, {"date": "2021-11-10", "source": "hellenicshippingnews.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Vietnamese oil tanker seized by Iran now free in open waters | Hellenic Shipping News Worldwide"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": 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