{"id": "2021-11-03-gdelt-c-tanker", "slug": "2021-iran-seizes-vietnamese-tanker-in-gulf-of-oman", "url": "/incidents/2021-iran-seizes-vietnamese-tanker-in-gulf-of-oman/", "label": "Iran seizes Vietnamese tanker in Gulf of Oman", "summary": "On November 3, 2021, Iran and the US disputed facts surrounding a tanker incident in the Sea of Oman. US officials told AP that Iran seized a Vietnamese-flagged oil tanker on October 24 and continued to hold it. Iran claimed its military foiled a US attempt to seize the vessel. The conflicting narratives generated significant media and public attention.", "incident_type": "seizure", "vessels": ["Vietnamese-flagged oil tanker"], "vessel_types": ["oil tanker"], "location": "Sea of Oman / Gulf of Oman", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2021-11-03", "peak_level": 85.169, "peak_level_date": "2021-11-04", "onset_date": "2021-11-03", "end_date": "2021-11-04", "duration_days": 2, "composite": {"excess_area": 55.934, "highest_since": "2021-10-29", "peak": 85.169, "peak_z": 1.9504226171999084, "percentile_of_peak_day": 82.6849, "rank_of_peak_day": 406}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 31.186000000000007, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.8085882858808048, "share_at_peak": 0.12869780308692874, "share_of_excess": 0.11493159974055076, "share_peak3": 0.13695411497786875}, "research": {"excess": 13.993500000000004, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.5838074328487262, "share_at_peak": 0.08464395521410462, "share_of_excess": 0.0773566026888378, "share_peak3": 0.08278651116172325}, "search": {"excess": 34.1105, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 1.3479946300919248, "share_at_peak": 0.2058941382259792, "share_of_excess": 0.1885641473553865, "share_peak3": 0.24663663421035964}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 168.002, "lead_days": 28, "peak_z": 2.8629575750078833, "share_at_peak": 0.5807641034729875, "share_of_excess": 0.6191476502152249, "share_peak3": 0.5336227396500485}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "social-led", "verdict_at_peak": "social-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.28106508875739644, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 1.491179381573898, "c_tanker": 8.127139909613112, "c_teu": 0.6778232656838887, "c_vessel": 0.04350683409338184}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0028735632183907, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0461538461538462, "peak_z": 0.13167554689465588}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9637964774951077, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.990234375, "peak_z": -0.037614575444910134}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 1.0298067474615133, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.139349701393497, "peak_z": 0.32084297060353706}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.214705882352941, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.2713864306784661, "peak_z": 0.8112220581937547}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.9821882951653944, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0034013605442176, "peak_z": -0.01666896083681804}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0633652822151225, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.126730564430245, "peak_z": 0.34824002906641466}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0028735632183907, "peak_z": 0.13167554689465588}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.0, "peak_z": 0.1358381920892496}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.9506172839506173, "peak_z": 0.0}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.0572344322344323, "peak_z": 0.45814663660356586}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.2079646017699115, "peak_z": 1.037283547699486}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.2234513274336283, "peak_z": 0.5982678542543689}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.1735791090629801, "peak_z": 0.5962812022595685}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.1358333333333333, "peak_z": 0.5209626723861546}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.9637964774951077, "peak_z": -0.037614575444910134}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9039057656540608, "peak_z": -0.1850660732065821}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.7966101694915254, "peak_z": -0.8906019218617208}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.997920997920998, "peak_z": 0.39309880591420837}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 4, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 1, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2021-11-04", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 77.521}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (54/54 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.037037037037037035, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.0, "freight_markets": 0.18518518518518517, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.7037037037037037, "human_drama": 0.018518518518518517, "pollution_event": 0.0, "safety_failure": 0.0, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.05555555555555555}, "buckets": {"people": 0.018087855297157632, "planet": 0.05167958656330752, "politics": 0.6950904392764857, "price": 0.18087855297157635, "progress": 0.05426356589147289}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.7222222222222222, "mostly acted upon": 0.1111111111111111, "mostly actor": 0.07407407407407407, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.09259259259259259}, "acted_upon_share": 0.7222222222222222, "trade_share": 0.1111111111111111, "strongly_negative_share": 0.0, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2021-11-03", "source": "gcaptain.com", "tier": "trade", "title": "Iran Says It Blocked US Attempt to Seize Oil Tanker in Sea of Oman"}, {"date": "2021-11-03", "source": "sandiegouniontribune.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "2 US officials tell AP that Iran seized Vietnamese-flagged oil tanker in Gulf of Oman on Oct. 24 and still hold vessel"}, {"date": "2021-11-03", "source": "sfgate.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Alert: 2 US officials tell AP that Iran seized Vietnamese-flagged oil tanker in Gulf of Oman on Oct. 24 and still hold vessel"}, {"date": "2021-11-03", "source": "dailymail.co.uk", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Iran claims it has foiled 'US attempt to steal oil by blocking a tanker' in the Sea of Oman"}, {"date": "2021-11-04", "source": "sputniknews.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Vietnamese Tanker Detained by IRGC Reportedly Seen Transferring Oil to Iranian Ship"}, {"date": "2021-11-03", "source": "rt.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Tehran's military 'foils' US attempt to seize Iranian tanker in Sea of Oman \u2013 state media \u2014 RT World News"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": 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