{"id": "2021-06-02-gdelt-c-vessel", "slug": "2021-mv-x-press-pearl-fire-off-sri-lanka", "url": "/incidents/2021-mv-x-press-pearl-fire-off-sri-lanka/", "label": "MV X-Press Pearl fire off Sri Lanka", "summary": "A container ship carrying nitric acid caught fire off the coast of Colombo, Sri Lanka in late May 2021, with two crew members injured in an explosion. The Indian Coast Guard responded to assist Sri Lankan authorities as the fire raged and threatened to cause a major oil spill and chemical pollution.", "incident_type": "fire", "vessels": ["MV X-Press Pearl"], "vessel_types": ["container ship"], "location": "off Sri Lanka", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2021-06-02", "peak_level": 94.177, "peak_level_date": "2021-06-03", "onset_date": "2021-05-26", "end_date": "2021-06-03", "duration_days": 9, "composite": {"excess_area": 132.291, "highest_since": "2021-04-09", "peak": 94.177, "peak_z": 1.9509609362949432, "percentile_of_peak_day": 85.8914, "rank_of_peak_day": 331}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 358.08050000000003, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 1.4492534597657272, "share_at_peak": 0.43201597897361416, "share_of_excess": 0.43947204027506237, "share_peak3": 0.4210174041804237}, "research": {"excess": 4.042499999999997, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.4068139300540745, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.00744203771000629, "share_peak3": 0.01492129639028278}, "search": {"excess": 93.7525, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.7176331642541929, "share_at_peak": 0.11800519249163686, "share_of_excess": 0.17259360306923072, "share_peak3": 0.11972840841350721}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 310.024, "lead_days": 0, "peak_z": 2.688676871392036, "share_at_peak": 0.44997882853474896, "share_of_excess": 0.38049231894570057, "share_peak3": 0.44433289101578627}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "low", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "mixed", "verdict_at_peak": "mixed", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.6457544618712818, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 0.9888954837593623, "c_tanker": 3.47062306091192, "c_teu": 18.109404084682946, "c_vessel": 8.132155868180007}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.8742527313955886, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9784560143626571, "peak_z": -0.025948406189916656}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.933864693044881, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9949324324324325, "peak_z": 0.04024117262687387}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 1.050273469693564, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.5043889264010804, "peak_z": 1.0871504043364877}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.8591815931265473, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.010443864229765, "peak_z": 0.013074765785343492}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.9373480125569262, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0474339035769828, "peak_z": 0.19481747992708442}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.9081948889904994, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.1153153153153152, "peak_z": 0.35441906415057267}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.8742527313955886, "peak_z": -0.025948406189916656}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9446185997910136, "peak_z": 0.5143855502120712}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.9173789173789174, "peak_z": 0.32949449160798483}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.1011509517485614, "peak_z": 1.4367172944738036}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.9582059123343527, "peak_z": 0.4856543239425422}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.8333333333333334, "peak_z": 0.07818001012766361}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.824677368586717, "peak_z": 0.019211198764283892}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.9129986517566817, "peak_z": 0.30410202620328547}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.933864693044881, "peak_z": 0.04024117262687387}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9915141872182445, "peak_z": 0.3218775391739262}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.9069557362240289, "peak_z": 0.29715612484099474}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9818256918628666, "peak_z": 1.0574757088804496}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 11, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 3, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2021-06-03", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 55.733}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [{"composite_peak": 70.162, "end_date": "2021-06-01", "onset_date": "2021-05-26", "peak_date": "2021-05-26", "peak_z": 18.109404084682946, "triggers": ["gdelt:c_teu"]}], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (318/742 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0031446540880503146, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.3742138364779874, "freight_markets": 0.05345911949685535, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.0440251572327044, "human_drama": 0.389937106918239, "pollution_event": 0.12264150943396226, "safety_failure": 0.006289308176100629, "seafarer_victim": 0.0031446540880503146, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.0031446540880503146}, "buckets": {"people": 0.4176006641760068, "planet": 0.12494811124948087, "politics": 0.04068078040680774, "price": 0.06807804068078031, "progress": 0.3486924034869243}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.550314465408805, "mostly acted upon": 0.07547169811320754, "mostly actor": 0.3490566037735849, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.025157232704402517}, "acted_upon_share": 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