{"id": "2021-06-19-gdelt-c-vessel", "slug": "2021-mv-x-press-pearl-sinks-off-sri-lanka", "url": "/incidents/2021-mv-x-press-pearl-sinks-off-sri-lanka/", "label": "MV X-Press Pearl sinks off Sri Lanka", "summary": "Container ship MV X-Press Pearl caught fire in late May 2021 and subsequently sank off the coast of Sri Lanka in early June, triggering environmental concerns over potential oil and chemical spills. The vessel was carrying nitric acid, plastics, and other cargo. Sri Lanka authorities prepared for a possible oil spill disaster and sought compensation from the ship's operator.", "incident_type": "fire", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["cargo ship"], "location": "off Sri Lanka", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2021-06-19", "peak_level": 64.684, "peak_level_date": "2021-06-19", "onset_date": "2021-06-19", "end_date": "2021-06-19", "duration_days": 1, "composite": {"excess_area": 0.0, "highest_since": "2021-06-08", "peak": 64.684, "peak_z": -0.031107623999116873, "percentile_of_peak_day": 62.8474, "rank_of_peak_day": 870}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 55.450500000000005, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 1.0423424635563365, "share_at_peak": 1.0, "share_of_excess": 1.0, "share_peak3": 0.9851085821728901}, "research": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -1.3657385113105172, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "search": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.3808276295693872, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.4784745887036854, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.014891417827109909}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "media-led", "verdict_at_peak": "media-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": null, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": -0.9103976746001982, "c_tanker": -0.6031911032739687, "c_teu": 0.0, "c_vessel": 9.359069749415482}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.6173076923076923, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.6184971098265896, "peak_z": -1.5384143952772547}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.6602282704126426, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.6608084358523726, "peak_z": -1.3054967722040964}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.7071359380045205, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.7115009746588694, "peak_z": -0.9427223714803059}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.5452054794520548, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.5497237569060773, "peak_z": -2.0475126192154662}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.7099143206854345, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.7107843137254902, "peak_z": -0.9625450835850367}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.5447619047619048, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.5463228271251194, "peak_z": -1.743753258199307}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.6173076923076923, "peak_z": -1.5384143952772547}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.7518324607329843, "peak_z": -0.9222600734710165}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.40437158469945356, "peak_z": -2.9327220698280017}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.6827458256029685, "peak_z": -1.091675634411711}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.5164319248826291, "peak_z": -2.2545218053928826}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.5444234404536862, "peak_z": -2.1673543773855357}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.6992805755395683, "peak_z": -1.2179136871107215}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.5710144927536231, "peak_z": -1.7107407193758204}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.6602282704126426, "peak_z": -1.3054967722040964}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.7119466343238327, "peak_z": -1.0103117440829672}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.6557377049180327, "peak_z": -2.0041136525108096}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.5310734463276836, "peak_z": -2.2542647883887006}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 0, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": null, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2021-06-19", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 65.415}, "attribution": {"alternatives": ["cargo ship fire and sinking off Sri Lanka", "container ship collision in Bosporus Strait"], "confidence": "medium", "single_cause": false}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "naming step found more than one plausible cause in the headlines (alternatives: ['cargo ship fire and sinking off Sri Lanka', 'container ship collision in Bosporus Strait']) \u2014 attribution.confidence is low; label may be an honest compound", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (132/261 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], 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