{"id": "2021-10-24-composite", "slug": "2021-zim-kingston-fire", "url": "/incidents/2021-zim-kingston-fire/", "label": "ZIM Kingston fire", "summary": "A container ship caught fire off the coast of British Columbia after a bomb cyclone knocked approximately 106 shipping containers into the Pacific Ocean. The crew was evacuated and rescued. Hazardous materials were burning aboard the vessel, and fires took several days to extinguish.", "incident_type": "fire", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["container ship"], "location": "Strait of Juan de Fuca, off British Columbia", "tier": "A", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2021-10-24", "peak_level": 118.826, "peak_level_date": "2021-10-24", "onset_date": "2021-10-24", "end_date": "2021-10-30", "duration_days": 7, "composite": {"excess_area": 337.464, "highest_since": "2021-04-08", "peak": 118.826, "peak_z": 3.887993333513431, "percentile_of_peak_day": 91.9624, "rank_of_peak_day": 189}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 692.7675, "lead_days": 18, "peak_z": 4.336440868434485, "share_at_peak": 0.4110408731332764, "share_of_excess": 0.4129280928702636, "share_peak3": 0.3637995226089321}, "research": {"excess": 66.071, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 1.041403511345447, "share_at_peak": 0.05417661245726729, "share_of_excess": 0.05907300506453719, "share_peak3": 0.07415071726161498}, "search": {"excess": 307.1005, "lead_days": -2, "peak_z": 3.4049728978229723, "share_at_peak": 0.19540709715094728, "share_of_excess": 0.2745735555965841, "share_peak3": 0.2541714646371392}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 425.1704999999999, "lead_days": 0, "peak_z": 5.025114084829078, "share_at_peak": 0.33937541725850895, "share_of_excess": 0.25342534646861514, "share_peak3": 0.3078782954923137}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "medium", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "mixed", "verdict_at_peak": "mixed", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.08333333333333333, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.48191075420150675, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 0.6750058937381949, "c_tanker": 1.1250722051044941, "c_teu": 1.2822400075459204, "c_vessel": 31.590342394285315}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0976491862567812, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.3728813559322033, "peak_z": 0.9142630596717688}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 1.0441609421000981, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.223529411764706, "peak_z": 0.6393671538785011}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 1.3429573934837093, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.5800561797752808, "peak_z": 1.2387705666597322}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.2518737224619578, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.6421725239616614, "peak_z": 1.405717531811771}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 1.0471281296023565, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.2184006878761824, "peak_z": 0.5492134430137435}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0272034820457019, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.1481481481481481, "peak_z": 0.3915537894523335}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0976491862567812, "peak_z": 0.9142630596717688}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.0940259740259741, "peak_z": 0.9620334993269458}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.2632524707996406, "peak_z": 3.4503912072771636}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.430947721554375, "peak_z": 1.4287880523665761}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.182175622542595, "peak_z": 1.780203279056392}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.2612244897959184, "peak_z": 1.497113822571821}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.2226228030644435, "peak_z": 1.461891512606409}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.012025012025012, "peak_z": 0.553894027043244}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 1.0441609421000981, "peak_z": 0.6393671538785011}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9809160305343512, "peak_z": 0.2978428010719667}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.0394088669950738, "peak_z": 1.1333845021196862}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 1.03161094224924, "peak_z": 0.47456770672167004}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 20, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 5, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2021-10-24", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 64.996}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.040697674418604654, "cost_of_living": 0.011627906976744186, "engine_of_trade": 0.14970930232558138, "freight_markets": 0.1511627906976744, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.00872093023255814, "human_drama": 0.061046511627906974, "pollution_event": 0.2238372093023256, "safety_failure": 0.0014534883720930232, "seafarer_victim": 0.059593023255813955, "shady_industry": 0.020348837209302327, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.2005813953488372, "technology_frontier": 0.07122093023255814}, "buckets": {"people": 0.141209829867675, "planet": 0.24763705103969802, "politics": 0.036672967863894124, "price": 0.3574669187145549, "progress": 0.21701323251417803}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.35319767441860467, "mostly acted upon": 0.3023255813953488, "mostly actor": 0.2877906976744186, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.056686046511627904}, "acted_upon_share": 0.35319767441860467, "trade_share": 0.023255813953488372, "strongly_negative_share": 0.04941860465116279, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2021-10-24", "source": "apnews.com", "tier": "core", "title": "Fire burns aboard container ship off British Columbia"}, {"date": "2021-10-24", "source": "reuters.com", "tier": "core", "title": "Fire blazes on cargo ship containers off British Columbia"}, {"date": "2021-10-25", "source": "theguardian.com", "tier": "core", "title": "Canada container ship fire: 'bomb cyclone' storm may hinder effort to assess damage | Canada"}, {"date": "2021-10-24", "source": "hamodia.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Fire Burns Aboard ZIM Container Ship off British Columbia"}, {"date": "2021-10-24", "source": "trust.org", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Container ship fire off British Columbia smoldering, no ..."}, {"date": "2021-10-24", "source": "swissinfo.ch", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Container ship fire off British Columbia smoldering, no longer spreading"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2021-10-10", "2021-10-11", "2021-10-12", "2021-10-13", "2021-10-14", "2021-10-15", "2021-10-16", "2021-10-17", "2021-10-18", "2021-10-19", "2021-10-20", "2021-10-21", "2021-10-22", "2021-10-23", "2021-10-24", "2021-10-25", "2021-10-26", "2021-10-27", "2021-10-28", "2021-10-29", "2021-10-30", "2021-10-31", "2021-11-01", "2021-11-02", "2021-11-03", "2021-11-04", 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