{"id": "2022-07-04-gdelt-c-vessel", "slug": "2022-cargo-ship-stranded-off-sydney-coast", "url": "/incidents/2022-cargo-ship-stranded-off-sydney-coast/", "label": "Cargo ship stranded off Sydney coast", "summary": "A cargo ship became stranded without power off the coast of Sydney, Australia during heavy storms and flooding in early July 2022. The vessel, with 21 crew members on board, drifted near Garie Beach in rough seas with 8-meter swells. Rescue operations were launched to tow the ship away from rocks, with concerns raised about potential environmental disaster from fuel leakage.", "incident_type": "grounding", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["cargo ship"], "location": "off Sydney coast, NSW, Australia", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2022-07-04", "peak_level": 67.95, "peak_level_date": "2022-07-04", "onset_date": "2022-07-04", "end_date": "2022-07-06", "duration_days": 3, "composite": {"excess_area": 38.684, "highest_since": "2022-04-22", "peak": 67.95, "peak_z": 1.1373557943092831, "percentile_of_peak_day": 67.6357, "rank_of_peak_day": 758}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 78.163, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 1.6231735629506343, "share_at_peak": 0.30288773738685615, "share_of_excess": 0.3825415819366648, "share_peak3": 0.30728615785966457}, "research": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.022883077980207826, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "search": {"excess": 12.507999999999996, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.4506792338488176, "share_at_peak": 0.060829346515233744, "share_of_excess": 0.09182407482179167, "share_peak3": 0.07801675858842205}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 107.4005, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 2.7898578725805696, "share_at_peak": 0.6362829160979101, "share_of_excess": 0.5256343432415436, "share_peak3": 0.6146970835519133}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "medium", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "social-led", "verdict_at_peak": "social-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.3057982525814138, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 0.8924620460101769, "c_tanker": 1.9440145556344415, "c_teu": 3.7344742966352182, "c_vessel": 7.626051321081061}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.1422558922558923, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.3040201005025125, "peak_z": 0.9021011601506376}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9552042160737813, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9842209072978304, "peak_z": -0.04463655709695566}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.9502810203199308, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9887640449438202, "peak_z": -0.019750659722586137}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.1078869047619047, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.291111111111111, "peak_z": 0.9316317110791278}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.9798270893371758, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.105465004793864, "peak_z": 0.29384257840070865}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.88839697472791, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9325221238938053, "peak_z": -0.18077276063541117}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.1422558922558923, "peak_z": 0.9021011601506376}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9978098992553658, "peak_z": 0.1732680170805363}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.095959595959596, "peak_z": 0.7040014074639231}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9427697684578419, "peak_z": -0.055803308173190985}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0683060109289617, "peak_z": 0.682589501299813}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.1313755795981453, "peak_z": 1.1572588023816803}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.8060021436227224, "peak_z": -0.6483545978352722}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.8570644718792867, "peak_z": -0.2831578297153978}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.9552042160737813, "peak_z": -0.04463655709695566}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.0781210751067571, "peak_z": 0.7804598842474569}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.0, "peak_z": 0.756362853409249}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9552012148823082, "peak_z": 0.10826736586211994}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 6, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 4, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2022-07-04", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 53.407}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (43/222 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.023255813953488372, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.023255813953488372, "freight_markets": 0.046511627906976744, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.023255813953488372, "human_drama": 0.6046511627906976, "pollution_event": 0.023255813953488372, "safety_failure": 0.0, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.046511627906976744, "technology_frontier": 0.20930232558139536}, "buckets": {"people": 0.6006389776357827, "planet": 0.05431309904153356, "politics": 0.02236421725239617, "price": 0.08945686900958467, "progress": 0.23322683706070294}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.5813953488372093, "mostly acted upon": 0.09302325581395349, "mostly actor": 0.13953488372093023, "neutral": 0.06976744186046512, "primary actor": 0.11627906976744186}, "acted_upon_share": 0.5813953488372093, "trade_share": 0.023255813953488372, "strongly_negative_share": 0.0, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2022-07-04", "source": "theguardian.com", "tier": "core", "title": "Fuel from cargo ship stranded off Sydney coast could cause environmental disaster, experts say"}, {"date": "2022-07-04", "source": "bbc.co.uk", "tier": "core", "title": "Rescuers try to save stranded cargo ship near Sydney"}, {"date": "2022-07-04", "source": "msn.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Australia live news: major rescue operation for cargo ship stranded in rough seas near Sydney; more evacuation orders amid NSW floods"}, {"date": "2022-07-04", "source": "9news.com.au", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Sydney floods: Cargo ship stranded without power off Sydney's south"}, {"date": "2022-07-04", "source": "afr.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Wild Sydney weather: Hong Kong-registered cargo ship Portland Bay stranded at sea after Port Kembla delivery"}, {"date": "2022-07-04", "source": "sputniknews.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Heavy Storms Leave at Least 21 People Stranded on Cargo Ship Near Sydney"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2022-06-20", 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