{"id": "2022-08-20-gdelt-c-tanker", "slug": "2022-chemical-tanker-and-cargo-ship-collide-near-japan", "url": "/incidents/2022-chemical-tanker-and-cargo-ship-collide-near-japan/", "label": "Chemical tanker and cargo ship collide near Japan", "summary": "A chemical tanker and cargo ship collided near southwestern Japan on August 20, 2022, generating significant media coverage focused on the incident and safety concerns.", "incident_type": "collision", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["chemical tanker", "cargo ship"], "location": "southwestern Japan", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2022-08-20", "peak_level": 87.252, "peak_level_date": "2022-08-20", "onset_date": "2022-08-20", "end_date": "2022-08-22", "duration_days": 3, "composite": {"excess_area": 81.00649999999999, "highest_since": "2022-04-20", "peak": 87.252, "peak_z": 2.5156452889520287, "percentile_of_peak_day": 83.54, "rank_of_peak_day": 386}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 337.253, "lead_days": 0, "peak_z": 4.9699531030706625, "share_at_peak": 0.8407981170186885, "share_of_excess": 0.8116549973496602, "share_peak3": 0.776355294968685}, "research": {"excess": 16.50249999999999, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.6444216656608849, "share_at_peak": 0.05855177915707165, "share_of_excess": 0.05957398419182079, "share_peak3": 0.08141935238240271}, "search": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.006782281813416985, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0019531324360853677}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 53.506000000000014, "lead_days": 1, "peak_z": 1.6920851853525933, "share_at_peak": 0.10065010382424, "share_of_excess": 0.12877101845851907, "share_peak3": 0.14027222021282673}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "media-led", "verdict_at_peak": "media-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.27473806752037255, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 1.1898188771174414, "c_tanker": 158.3008006786717, "c_teu": 0.5982951687272365, "c_vessel": 57.55225704786811}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.8941469489414695, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.2175, "peak_z": 0.659475663418879}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 1.0818892286782196, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.305327868852459, "peak_z": 0.8624930340197867}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.9832877544819204, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.1758241758241759, "peak_z": 0.4666178631579477}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.9250203748981255, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.3357843137254901, "peak_z": 1.0037769556304434}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 1.1209638554216868, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.249034749034749, "peak_z": 0.6442142659283806}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0176063303659744, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.165083135391924, "peak_z": 0.45489705268873887}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.8941469489414695, "peak_z": 0.659475663418879}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9925731760594146, "peak_z": 0.6222637819520914}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.0501474926253687, "peak_z": 0.7129548753160447}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9957325746799431, "peak_z": 0.5045426377990986}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.7636363636363637, "peak_z": 0.16972072252692288}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0131956397016637, "peak_z": 1.4519154125723055}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.0448933782267116, "peak_z": 1.0771223812322575}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.043812907045589, "peak_z": 0.3867834232823373}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 1.0818892286782196, "peak_z": 0.8624930340197867}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.1730392156862746, "peak_z": 0.5918007932245892}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.0784313725490196, "peak_z": 1.6295439609965845}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9944838455476753, "peak_z": 1.0916951524582585}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 21, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 3, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2022-08-20", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 51.071}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (250/345 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.0, "freight_markets": 0.052, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.0, "human_drama": 0.764, "pollution_event": 0.0, "safety_failure": 0.16, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.024}, "buckets": {"people": 0.9148816234498308, "planet": 0.005073280721533263, "politics": 0.0033821871476888425, "price": 0.0529875986471252, "progress": 0.023675310033821898}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.912, "mostly acted upon": 0.064, "mostly actor": 0.02, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.004}, "acted_upon_share": 0.912, "trade_share": 0.0, "strongly_negative_share": 0.004, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2022-08-20", "source": "sfgate.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Chemical tanker, cargo ship crash near southwestern Japan"}, {"date": "2022-08-20", "source": "npr.org", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "A chemical tanker and cargo ship crashed near southwestern Japan"}, {"date": "2022-08-20", "source": "countypress.co.uk", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Chemical tanker collides with cargo ship off Japan"}, {"date": "2022-08-20", "source": "poandpo.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Chemical tanker, cargo ship crash near Japan | News"}, {"date": "2022-08-22", "source": "insurancejournal.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Japanese Chemical Tanker Crashes Into Cargo Ship off Coast of Japan"}, {"date": "2022-08-20", "source": "accesswdun.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Chemical tanker, cargo ship crash near southwestern Jap..."}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2022-08-06", "2022-08-07", "2022-08-08", "2022-08-09", "2022-08-10", "2022-08-11", 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