{"id": "2022-09-11-gdelt-c-vessel", "slug": "2022-iran-seizes-greek-tankers-in-aegean", "url": "/incidents/2022-iran-seizes-greek-tankers-in-aegean/", "label": "Iran seizes Greek tankers in Aegean", "summary": "Iran released the crew of two Greek-flagged tankers that had been seized, amid escalating tensions in the Aegean Sea. The incident occurred during a period of heightened geopolitical friction in the region.", "incident_type": "seizure", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["tanker", "cargo ship"], "location": "Aegean Sea", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2022-09-11", "peak_level": 59.898, "peak_level_date": "2022-09-12", "onset_date": "2022-09-11", "end_date": "2022-09-20", "duration_days": 10, "composite": {"excess_area": 9.689500000000002, "highest_since": "2022-09-03", "peak": 59.898, "peak_z": 0.4372708131608416, "percentile_of_peak_day": 55.3228, "rank_of_peak_day": 1046}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 115.9135, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 1.5975493435850452, "share_at_peak": 0.9038277640245593, "share_of_excess": 0.9157222816920325, "share_peak3": 0.9047205289837326}, "research": {"excess": 2.460499999999996, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.16133324935692114, "share_at_peak": 0.09182880072926809, "share_of_excess": 0.029157104316191503, "share_peak3": 0.09364904170342968}, "search": {"excess": 4.570500000000003, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.2743819599382061, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.05416075808866228, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 0.1214999999999975, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.00908562088658631, "share_at_peak": 0.004343435246172595, "share_of_excess": 0.0009598559031137846, "share_peak3": 0.0016304293128377525}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "media-led", "verdict_at_peak": "media-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.08333333333333333, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.3030434782608696, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 7.016443641971526, "c_tanker": 4.635164930940094, "c_teu": 6.457758189267047, "c_vessel": 9.832575951593832}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0927784577723378, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.3063725490196079, "peak_z": 0.8742039300686495}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9328600405679514, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0993914807302232, "peak_z": 0.3049520715647261}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 1.0555757026291932, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.2713248638838475, "peak_z": 0.6714212596883472}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.1501199040767387, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.525179856115108, "peak_z": 1.288023308019356}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 1.2034938621340887, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.423728813559322, "peak_z": 0.9849149815008866}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0949614700652046, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.2819905213270142, "peak_z": 0.7382552752181409}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0927784577723378, "peak_z": 0.8742039300686495}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.0216145833333334, "peak_z": 0.4131591991835926}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.3464285714285715, "peak_z": 2.549108546059048}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.0981507823613086, "peak_z": 0.9492378501656104}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0995475113122173, "peak_z": 1.6606039313937382}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.1799011532125205, "peak_z": 1.3491602930457354}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.1460101867572157, "peak_z": 1.3919391491746689}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.067550839964633, "peak_z": 0.6765754446765947}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.9328600405679514, "peak_z": 0.3049520715647261}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.2598436389481165, "peak_z": 1.0623767630168017}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.975, "peak_z": 0.27735883598426425}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 1.147887323943662, "peak_z": 1.2466666123647385}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 1, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 1, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2022-09-12", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 56.862}, "attribution": {"alternatives": ["Greek Coast Guard fires on Turkish cargo ship", "Iran seizes Greek tankers"], "confidence": "medium", "single_cause": false}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "naming step found more than one plausible cause in the headlines (alternatives: ['Greek Coast Guard fires on Turkish cargo ship', 'Iran seizes Greek tankers']) \u2014 attribution.confidence is low; label may be an honest compound", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (87/423 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.05747126436781609, "freight_markets": 0.19540229885057472, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.6551724137931034, "human_drama": 0.022988505747126436, "pollution_event": 0.0, "safety_failure": 0.011494252873563218, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.022988505747126436, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.022988505747126436, "technology_frontier": 0.011494252873563218}, "buckets": {"people": 0.08597285067873298, "planet": 0.004524886877828053, "politics": 0.627450980392157, "price": 0.205128205128205, "progress": 0.07692307692307691}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.6781609195402298, "mostly acted upon": 0.11494252873563218, "mostly actor": 0.1839080459770115, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.022988505747126436}, "acted_upon_share": 0.6781609195402298, "trade_share": 0.011494252873563218, "strongly_negative_share": 0.034482758620689655, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2022-09-12", "source": "gulf-times.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Iran to release crew of two seized Greek tankers -Greek seafarers union"}, {"date": "2022-09-12", "source": "kfgo.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Iran to release crew of two seized Greek tankers \u2013 Greek seafarers union"}, {"date": "2022-09-12", "source": "jpost.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Iran to release crew of two seized Greek tankers - Greek seafarers union"}, {"date": "2022-09-12", "source": "timeslive.co.za", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Iran to release crew of two seized Greek tankers \u2014 Greek seafarers union"}, {"date": "2022-09-12", "source": "middleeastmonitor.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Greek Seafarers' Union: Iran to release crew of two seized Greek tankers"}, {"date": "2022-09-13", "source": "fijitimes.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "The Fiji Times \u00bb Iran to release crew of two seized Greek tankers -Greek seafarers union"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2022-08-28", "2022-08-29", "2022-08-30", "2022-08-31", "2022-09-01", "2022-09-02", "2022-09-03", "2022-09-04", "2022-09-05", "2022-09-06", "2022-09-07", "2022-09-08", "2022-09-09", "2022-09-10", "2022-09-11", "2022-09-12", "2022-09-13", "2022-09-14", "2022-09-15", "2022-09-16", "2022-09-17", "2022-09-18", "2022-09-19", "2022-09-20", "2022-09-21", "2022-09-22", "2022-09-23", "2022-09-24", "2022-09-25", "2022-09-26", "2022-09-27", "2022-09-28", "2022-09-29", "2022-09-30", "2022-10-01", "2022-10-02", "2022-10-03", "2022-10-04", "2022-10-05", "2022-10-06", "2022-10-07", "2022-10-08", "2022-10-09", "2022-10-10", "2022-10-11", "2022-10-12", "2022-10-13", "2022-10-14", "2022-10-15", "2022-10-16", "2022-10-17", 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