{"id": "2022-04-09-gdelt-c-tanker", "slug": "2022-un-seeks-funds-to-prevent-red-sea-tanker-disaster", "url": "/incidents/2022-un-seeks-funds-to-prevent-red-sea-tanker-disaster/", "label": "UN seeks funds to prevent Red Sea tanker disaster", "summary": "The UN appealed for $80 million to prevent a tanker disaster in the Red Sea. The spike was driven primarily by research interest and widespread news syndication of this appeal, alongside concurrent coverage of the Frontline-Euronav merger and tanker market developments.", "incident_type": "pollution", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["tanker"], "location": "Red Sea", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2022-04-09", "peak_level": 68.251, "peak_level_date": "2022-04-09", "onset_date": "2022-04-08", "end_date": "2022-04-09", "duration_days": 2, "composite": {"excess_area": 0.0, "highest_since": "2022-04-07", "peak": 68.251, "peak_z": -0.08346198037258447, "percentile_of_peak_day": 68.1915, "rank_of_peak_day": 745}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 0.10450000000000159, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.003671828520008314, "share_at_peak": 0.006132989025177625, "share_of_excess": 0.0022638770790570045, "share_peak3": 0.0018030375575311599}, "research": {"excess": 23.455500000000008, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.7581719723542963, "share_at_peak": 0.5421973120488294, "share_of_excess": 0.7622062511170447, "share_peak3": 0.6070499631196864}, "search": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.19693517262847163, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 10.872, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.4524491228948581, "share_at_peak": 0.451669698925993, "share_of_excess": 0.23552987180389834, "share_peak3": 0.3911469993227825}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "public-curiosity-led", "verdict_at_peak": "public-curiosity-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.7513935340022296, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": -0.16416588222071674, "c_tanker": 6.347993815630992, "c_teu": 1.4399434495739485, "c_vessel": 0.6371938458507849}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.7897489539748954, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.8493723849372385, "peak_z": -0.527852605282418}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 1.0105062082139447, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.1417624521072798, "peak_z": 0.41349936229291157}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.8989859594383776, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9960967993754879, "peak_z": -0.013098319433176572}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.259581881533101, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.6522522522522523, "peak_z": 1.4521517797297079}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.7767894959762812, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9083969465648855, "peak_z": -0.27495203600294377}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.8773987206823027, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9806659505907627, "peak_z": -0.057046347632964046}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.7897489539748954, "peak_z": -0.527852605282418}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.8780773739742087, "peak_z": -0.04273004086329209}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.68125, "peak_z": -0.8691596604816287}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9163722025912838, "peak_z": 0.020858333367846444}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.841642228739003, "peak_z": 0.31347574801300654}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.4031476997578693, "peak_z": 1.444889838894348}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.8082386363636364, "peak_z": -0.14803510742365364}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.910786699107867, "peak_z": 0.08054377915604573}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 1.0105062082139447, "peak_z": 0.41349936229291157}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.7747688243064729, "peak_z": -0.3231072070936528}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.7666666666666667, "peak_z": -0.5037404812792133}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.8466257668711656, "peak_z": -0.11274772761290543}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 0, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": null, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2022-04-09", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 82.958}, "attribution": {"alternatives": ["UN appeal for Red Sea tanker disaster prevention funding", "Frontline and Euronav merger creating world's largest tanker fleet"], "confidence": "medium", "single_cause": false}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "naming step found more than one plausible cause in the headlines (alternatives: ['UN appeal for Red Sea tanker disaster prevention funding', \"Frontline and Euronav merger creating world's largest tanker fleet\"]) \u2014 attribution.confidence is low; label may be an honest compound", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (44/44 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.0, "freight_markets": 0.29545454545454547, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.045454545454545456, "human_drama": 0.0, "pollution_event": 0.5681818181818182, "safety_failure": 0.0, "seafarer_victim": 0.022727272727272728, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.06818181818181818}, "buckets": {"people": 0.022508038585209007, "planet": 0.562700964630225, "politics": 0.05466237942122188, "price": 0.2926045016077171, "progress": 0.06752411575562701}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.0, "mostly acted upon": 0.7272727272727273, "mostly actor": 0.13636363636363635, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.13636363636363635}, "acted_upon_share": 0.0, "trade_share": 0.022727272727272728, "strongly_negative_share": 0.0, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2022-04-08", "source": "chron.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "UN seeks $80 million to prevent tanker disaster in Red Sea"}, {"date": "2022-04-08", "source": "kob.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "UN  seeks $80 million to prevent tanker disaster in Red Sea"}, {"date": "2022-04-08", "source": "wral.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "UN seeks $80 million to prevent tanker disaster in Red Sea :: WRAL.com"}, {"date": "2022-04-09", "source": "nbcnewyork.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "UN  Seeks $80 Million to Prevent Tanker Disaster in Red Sea \u2013 NBC New York"}, {"date": "2022-04-09", "source": "business-standard.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "United Nations seeks $80 million to prevent tanker disaster in Red Sea"}, {"date": "2022-04-09", "source": "latestly.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "World News | .UNITEDNATIONS/GENEVA FES7 UN-YEMEN-TANKER UN Seeks USD80 Million to Prevent Tanker Disaster in Red Sea By Edith M Lederer"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2022-03-25", "2022-03-26", "2022-03-27", "2022-03-28", "2022-03-29", "2022-03-30", "2022-03-31", "2022-04-01", "2022-04-02", "2022-04-03", "2022-04-04", "2022-04-05", "2022-04-06", "2022-04-07", "2022-04-08", "2022-04-09", "2022-04-10", "2022-04-11", "2022-04-12", "2022-04-13", "2022-04-14", "2022-04-15", "2022-04-16", "2022-04-17", "2022-04-18", "2022-04-19", "2022-04-20", "2022-04-21", "2022-04-22", "2022-04-23", "2022-04-24", "2022-04-25", "2022-04-26", "2022-04-27", "2022-04-28", "2022-04-29", "2022-04-30", "2022-05-01", "2022-05-02", "2022-05-03", "2022-05-04", "2022-05-05", "2022-05-06", "2022-05-07", "2022-05-08", 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