{"id": "2023-10-24-gdelt-c-vessel", "slug": "2023-cargo-ships-collide-in-north-sea-one-dead", "url": "/incidents/2023-cargo-ships-collide-in-north-sea-one-dead/", "label": "British cargo ship Verity sinks in North Sea collision", "summary": "The British cargo ship Verity collided with another cargo vessel in the North Sea off Germany on October 24, 2023. One person died and four went missing after Verity sank. The P&O Iona assisted in rescue operations. The incident also coincided with reports of a Chinese container vessel's anchor damaging the Balticconnector gas pipeline in the Baltic Sea, and a tanker fire near Batangas in the Philippines.", "incident_type": "collision", "vessels": ["Verity"], "vessel_types": ["cargo ship"], "location": "North Sea, off Germany", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2023-10-24", "peak_level": 84.229, "peak_level_date": "2023-10-24", "onset_date": "2023-10-24", "end_date": "2023-10-27", "duration_days": 4, "composite": {"excess_area": 49.442499999999995, "highest_since": "2023-09-17", "peak": 84.229, "peak_z": 0.9975281606442227, "percentile_of_peak_day": 82.3856, "rank_of_peak_day": 413}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 11.617000000000004, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.22850965155460942, "share_at_peak": 0.06076710830495408, "share_of_excess": 0.03414321959362898, "share_peak3": 0.024053045397343573}, "research": {"excess": 172.9885, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 2.653891527132468, "share_at_peak": 0.638867483656069, "share_of_excess": 0.7626389355262743, "share_peak3": 0.7406627919676249}, "search": {"excess": 14.804000000000002, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.4356372446265071, "share_at_peak": 0.059688284570831925, "share_of_excess": 0.06526507138642722, "share_peak3": 0.07080131885388406}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 46.9375, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.9771021613603175, "share_at_peak": 0.24067712346814496, "share_of_excess": 0.13795277349366963, "share_peak3": 0.1644828437811474}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "public-curiosity-led", "verdict_at_peak": "public-curiosity-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.08333333333333333, "breadth": 0.16666666666666666, "concentration": 0.6838992750858451, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 0.19653362522679324, "c_tanker": 0.8683565371736077, "c_teu": 1.2844976769114584, "c_vessel": 8.631066503728906}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.1119023397761953, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.231237322515213, "peak_z": 0.6796851531575975}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 2.6373493975903615, "lifted": true, "peak_multiple": 2.766546329723225, "peak_z": 3.02868214321773}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 1.1927736006683376, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.3645484949832776, "peak_z": 0.874006247591264}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.3105849582172702, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.3461538461538463, "peak_z": 1.0548289396268238}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 1.1801369863013698, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.269652650822669, "peak_z": 0.6763235876595536}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.9775224775224776, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9930761622156281, "peak_z": -0.022911641043533836}}, "groups_lifted": 1, "lead_group": "Car carriers (ro-ro)", "verdict": "isolated", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.1119023397761953, "peak_z": 0.6796851531575975}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.2474696356275303, "peak_z": 1.3221571265637693}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.0105633802816902, "peak_z": 0.23929592504930228}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.1576319543509273, "peak_z": 0.7172564273956272}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.2142857142857142, "peak_z": 1.117995574328351}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.4026915113871636, "peak_z": 1.5487252231445328}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.2969924812030076, "peak_z": 1.4397503886995247}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.0022988505747126, "peak_z": 0.09071748509300746}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 2.6373493975903615, "peak_z": 3.02868214321773}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.1310344827586207, "peak_z": 0.5001176452121677}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.0773809523809523, "peak_z": 0.9072929479015509}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9739884393063584, "peak_z": 0.11347298898041853}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 5, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 4, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2023-10-24", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 68.02}, "attribution": {"alternatives": ["Chinese container vessel anchor damages Balticconnector gas pipeline", "Tanker fire near Batangas, Philippines"], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": false}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "naming step found more than one plausible cause in the headlines (alternatives: ['Chinese container vessel anchor damages Balticconnector gas pipeline', 'Tanker fire near Batangas, Philippines']) \u2014 attribution.confidence is low; label may be an honest compound", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (31/465 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.3333333333333333, "freight_markets": 0.3333333333333333, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.0, "human_drama": 0.03333333333333333, "pollution_event": 0.0, "safety_failure": 0.03333333333333333, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.26666666666666666}, "buckets": {"people": 0.06306306306306307, "planet": 0.0, "politics": 0.0, "price": 0.35585585585585594, "progress": 0.5810810810810809}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.03333333333333333, "mostly acted upon": 0.4, "mostly actor": 0.5666666666666667, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.0}, "acted_upon_share": 0.03333333333333333, "trade_share": 0.03333333333333333, "strongly_negative_share": 0.0, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2023-10-24", "source": "dw.com", "tier": "core", "title": "Several missing after two cargo ships collide in North Sea \u2013 DW \u2013 10/24/2023"}, {"date": "2023-10-24", "source": "theguardian.com", "tier": "core", "title": "British cargo ship reportedly sinks with several missing in North Sea"}, {"date": "2023-10-24", "source": "thetimes.co.uk", "tier": "core", "title": "Search for survivors after British cargo ship crashes and sinks in North Sea"}, {"date": "2023-10-24", "source": "maritime-executive.com", "tier": "trade", "title": "One Dead, Four Missing as UK Cargo Ship Sinks in North Sea Collision"}, {"date": "2023-10-24", "source": "gcaptain.com", "tier": "trade", "title": "One Dead and Four Missing After Cargo Ships Collide in North Sea"}, {"date": "2023-10-24", "source": "thelocal.de", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Several missing after two cargo ships collide in Germany's North Sea"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2023-10-10", "2023-10-11", "2023-10-12", "2023-10-13", "2023-10-14", "2023-10-15", "2023-10-16", "2023-10-17", "2023-10-18", "2023-10-19", "2023-10-20", "2023-10-21", "2023-10-22", "2023-10-23", "2023-10-24", "2023-10-25", "2023-10-26", "2023-10-27", "2023-10-28", "2023-10-29", "2023-10-30", "2023-10-31", "2023-11-01", "2023-11-02", "2023-11-03", "2023-11-04", "2023-11-05", "2023-11-06", "2023-11-07", "2023-11-08", "2023-11-09", "2023-11-10", "2023-11-11", "2023-11-12", "2023-11-13", "2023-11-14", "2023-11-15", "2023-11-16", "2023-11-17", "2023-11-18", "2023-11-19", "2023-11-20", "2023-11-21", "2023-11-22", "2023-11-23", "2023-11-24", "2023-11-25", 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