{"id": "2023-09-30-gdelt-c-vessel", "slug": "2023-cocaine-cargo-ship-seized-off-cork-coast", "url": "/incidents/2023-cocaine-cargo-ship-seized-off-cork-coast/", "label": "Cocaine cargo ship seized off Cork coast", "summary": "A cargo ship carrying a record cocaine haul was seized off the Cork coast in late September 2023, linked to drugs seizures in France and Spain. Seven men were arrested in connection with the probe.", "incident_type": "seizure", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["cargo ship"], "location": "Cork coast, Ireland", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2023-09-30", "peak_level": 75.679, "peak_level_date": "2023-09-30", "onset_date": "2023-09-30", "end_date": "2023-09-30", "duration_days": 1, "composite": {"excess_area": 8.497, "highest_since": "2023-09-18", "peak": 75.679, "peak_z": 0.5564103048654321, "percentile_of_peak_day": 76.1437, "rank_of_peak_day": 559}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 65.93950000000001, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 1.7241836204723306, "share_at_peak": 0.851986562439434, "share_of_excess": 0.851986562439434, "share_peak3": 0.745155438599223}, "research": {"excess": 6.542000000000002, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.5068520236055499, "share_at_peak": 0.126791136378319, "share_of_excess": 0.126791136378319, "share_peak3": 0.21799708820254896}, "search": {"excess": 1.0949999999999989, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.06744814277522294, "share_at_peak": 0.021222301182246887, "share_of_excess": 0.021222301182246887, "share_peak3": 0.03684747319822802}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.8401436943379831, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "media-led", "verdict_at_peak": "media-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": null, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 3.7469393167499856, "c_tanker": -1.473304775005678, "c_teu": -0.6744907594765952, "c_vessel": 10.004249868907678}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.6870540265035678, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.6877551020408164, "peak_z": -1.2082867521292364}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.7033898305084746, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.7050970873786407, "peak_z": -1.045971092907409}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.832, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.8323504633529908, "peak_z": -0.5190431099547462}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.8028985507246377, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.8052325581395349, "peak_z": -0.7485365007076971}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.8392774432607689, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.8373382624768947, "peak_z": -0.5011585580951327}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.617704280155642, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.617704280155642, "peak_z": -1.3873137208410238}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.6870540265035678, "peak_z": -1.2082867521292364}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.8, "peak_z": -0.7233659357051018}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.6428571428571429, "peak_z": -1.5538603492751981}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.8583450210378681, "peak_z": -0.4642238410804626}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.71, "peak_z": -1.405794919983693}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.8673684210526316, "peak_z": -0.5174966041458499}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.0, "peak_z": 0.0}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.636896046852123, "peak_z": -1.3796494553796446}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.7033898305084746, "peak_z": -1.045971092907409}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.76625, "peak_z": -0.7953082513263913}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.7954545454545454, "peak_z": -1.1723842180065371}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.5849056603773585, "peak_z": -1.9114915530358811}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 2, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 1, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2023-09-30", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 66.638}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (32/324 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.375, "freight_markets": 0.0, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.0, "human_drama": 0.0, "pollution_event": 0.125, "safety_failure": 0.0, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.46875, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.03125}, "buckets": {"people": 0.012244897959183673, "planet": 0.12653061224489795, "politics": 0.4897959183673469, "price": 0.0, "progress": 0.37142857142857144}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.46875, "mostly acted upon": 0.15625, "mostly actor": 0.375, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.0}, "acted_upon_share": 0.46875, "trade_share": 0.0, "strongly_negative_share": 0.46875, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2023-09-29", "source": "irishexaminer.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Cocaine cargo ship seized off Cork coast is linked to drugs hauls in France and Spain"}, {"date": "2023-09-27", "source": "southeastradio.ie", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Drugs found onboard a cargo ship linked to the vessel stranded off the Wexford coast may be the biggest seizure of cocaine ever recorded here."}, {"date": "2023-09-28", "source": "independent.ie", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Kinahan cartel had 'significant' stake in \u20ac500m cocaine haul seized on cargo ship off Cork coast"}, {"date": "2023-09-26", "source": "redfm.ie", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Army Rangers board container ship off the Cork Coast"}, {"date": "2023-09-27", "source": "rte.ie", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Container ship off Cork coast detained by defence forces personnel and garda\u00ed"}, {"date": "2023-09-26", "source": "thejournal.ie", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "'Significant' drugs seizure after cargo ship is boarded by Army Ranger Wing off Irish coast"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2023-09-16", "2023-09-17", "2023-09-18", "2023-09-19", "2023-09-20", "2023-09-21", "2023-09-22", "2023-09-23", "2023-09-24", "2023-09-25", "2023-09-26", "2023-09-27", "2023-09-28", "2023-09-29", "2023-09-30", "2023-10-01", "2023-10-02", "2023-10-03", "2023-10-04", "2023-10-05", "2023-10-06", "2023-10-07", "2023-10-08", "2023-10-09", 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