{"id": "2023-07-30-gdelt-c-vessel", "slug": "2023-fremantle-highway-fire-off-dutch-coast", "url": "/incidents/2023-fremantle-highway-fire-off-dutch-coast/", "label": "Fremantle Highway fire off Dutch coast", "summary": "A cargo ship carrying approximately 3,000 vehicles caught fire off the Netherlands coast in late July 2023. The fire, blamed on electric vehicles, burned for nearly a week. One Indian crew member was killed and approximately 20 others were injured. After flames subsided, the vessel was towed to a new location in the North Sea for salvage operations.", "incident_type": "fire", "vessels": ["Fremantle Highway"], "vessel_types": ["car carrier"], "location": "off Dutch coast, North Sea", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2023-07-30", "peak_level": 108.237, "peak_level_date": "2023-07-30", "onset_date": "2023-07-25", "end_date": "2023-08-03", "duration_days": 10, "composite": {"excess_area": 342.72749999999996, "highest_since": "2022-03-06", "peak": 108.237, "peak_z": 3.4171762664820817, "percentile_of_peak_day": 89.8675, "rank_of_peak_day": 238}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 683.6424999999999, "lead_days": 1, "peak_z": 4.001031298531448, "share_at_peak": 0.5948964876019848, "share_of_excess": 0.38956935346534044, "share_peak3": 0.5063549973554327}, "research": {"excess": 13.221499999999992, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.3622285523224889, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.011301282191003329, "share_peak3": 0.003722484081458505}, "search": {"excess": 280.5350000000001, "lead_days": -3, "peak_z": 3.1861868875388524, "share_at_peak": 0.14488813062098307, "share_of_excess": 0.23979164235927256, "share_peak3": 0.17392887721318137}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 630.59, "lead_days": 0, "peak_z": 4.662277026746405, "share_at_peak": 0.2602153817770321, "share_of_excess": 0.35933772198438374, "share_peak3": 0.3159936413499274}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "low", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "mixed", "verdict_at_peak": "media-led", "verdicts_disagree": true}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.08333333333333333, "breadth": 0.16666666666666666, "concentration": 0.5493029150823827, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 2.44718014936539, "c_tanker": 5.401390587738042, "c_teu": 2.1717592397731695, "c_vessel": 33.11585694173513}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0751863684771032, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.3318681318681318, "peak_z": 0.9194568104192754}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 1.4693069306930693, "lifted": true, "peak_multiple": 1.987551867219917, "peak_z": 2.0865667257531015}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 1.0503502626970227, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.2912280701754386, "peak_z": 0.71529399723687}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.9613933236574747, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.1965317919075145, "peak_z": 0.6068093042215685}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.9390070921985816, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0425531914893618, "peak_z": 0.1311992967234772}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 1.021078431372549, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.3346418056918548, "peak_z": 0.8311927000390285}}, "groups_lifted": 1, "lead_group": "Car carriers (ro-ro)", "verdict": "isolated", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0751863684771032, "peak_z": 0.9194568104192754}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.116268486916951, "peak_z": 1.3648426162931302}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.98, "peak_z": 1.214582638142715}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.0185344827586207, "peak_z": 0.634883525394905}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0406417112299464, "peak_z": 1.1268601039697312}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.9263366336633664, "peak_z": 0.421327343801971}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.9567251461988304, "peak_z": 0.40337838774835033}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 1.0473304473304472, "peak_z": 1.1388975821564655}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 1.4693069306930693, "peak_z": 2.0865667257531015}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9493234932349324, "peak_z": 0.299475920213137}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.9333333333333333, "peak_z": 1.421320350422663}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9767441860465116, "peak_z": 0.4227216348711587}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 12, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 3, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2023-07-30", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 60.846}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "integrated and peak-day verdicts differ (smoothing artefact likely)", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (495/1055 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.002036659877800407, "engine_of_trade": 0.010183299389002037, "freight_markets": 0.07739307535641547, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.012219959266802444, "human_drama": 0.6476578411405295, "pollution_event": 0.11812627291242363, "safety_failure": 0.09572301425661914, "seafarer_victim": 0.004073319755600814, "shady_industry": 0.004073319755600814, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.028513238289205704}, "buckets": {"people": 0.7376156777354368, "planet": 0.11540555253130173, "politics": 0.020958083832335446, "price": 0.08328796951551486, "progress": 0.042732716385411214}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.8533604887983707, "mostly acted upon": 0.09572301425661914, "mostly actor": 0.04480651731160896, "neutral": 0.002036659877800407, "primary actor": 0.004073319755600814}, "acted_upon_share": 0.8533604887983707, "trade_share": 0.014256619144602852, "strongly_negative_share": 0.1120162932790224, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2023-07-26", "source": "theguardian.com", "tier": "core", "title": "One killed and several injured as cargo ship catches fire off Dutch coast"}, {"date": "2023-07-26", "source": "bbc.com", "tier": "core", "title": "Fire breaks out on cargo ship carrying 3000 cars off Dutch coast"}, {"date": "2023-07-28", "source": "nytimes.com", "tier": "core", "title": "Fire Aboard Cargo Ship off Dutch Coast Is Still Raging"}, {"date": "2023-07-26", "source": "dw.com", "tier": "core", "title": "Dutch crews battle major blaze on cargo ship \u2013 DW \u2013 07/26/2023"}, {"date": "2023-07-27", "source": "dailytelegraph.com.au", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Huge fire on cargo ship Fremantle Highway off Dutch coast blamed on electric vehicle"}, {"date": "2023-08-01", "source": "yahoo.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "'No indication' of fire as Fremantle Highway cargo ship anchors off Dutch islands"}], "headlines_note": null}, 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