{"id": "2023-11-05-gdelt-c-industry", "slug": "2023-pro-palestine-protesters-block-israeli-shipping-line", "url": "/incidents/2023-pro-palestine-protesters-block-israeli-shipping-line/", "label": "Pro-Palestine protesters blockade ZIM ships in Australia", "summary": "Pro-Palestine protesters blockaded ships of the shipping line ZIM in Australia on November 8, 2023, generating widespread media coverage across Australian regional outlets. The incident coincided with other maritime events including a Ukrainian missile strike on a Russian shipyard, a Panama Canal congestion crisis, and a DP World cybersecurity incident, creating a mixed signal across the week.", "incident_type": "policy", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": [], "location": "Australia", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2023-11-05", "peak_level": 89.89, "peak_level_date": "2023-11-08", "onset_date": "2023-11-05", "end_date": "2023-11-11", "duration_days": 7, "composite": {"excess_area": 126.95449999999998, "highest_since": "2023-08-06", "peak": 89.89, "peak_z": 1.313777281291511, "percentile_of_peak_day": 84.5661, "rank_of_peak_day": 362}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 371.2385, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 2.1641640486666844, "share_at_peak": 0.606366030189714, "share_of_excess": 0.3777038455766585, "share_peak3": 0.4624780186094609}, "research": {"excess": 380.804, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 3.4596618375492785, "share_at_peak": 0.393633969810286, "share_of_excess": 0.581153901916048, "share_peak3": 0.5375219813905391}, "search": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.6540079637015748, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 40.437999999999995, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.8332207169693343, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0411422525072936, "share_peak3": 0.0}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "mixed", "verdict_at_peak": "mixed", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.16666666666666666, "breadth": 0.16666666666666666, "concentration": 0.7197332581947966, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 27.943021114716654, "c_tanker": 0.6825248902843305, "c_teu": -0.03970657134555607, "c_vessel": 0.45679988510095737}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0119777972538708, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.220408163265306, "peak_z": 0.6655750222910718}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 2.2515067600586414, "lifted": true, "peak_multiple": 2.609090909090909, "peak_z": 2.8379150832684137}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 1.1696613888394711, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.7682119205298013, "peak_z": 1.5950418944730063}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.0190735694822888, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.2888283378746594, "peak_z": 0.8568748481536905}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 1.0593683668875025, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.1863186318631864, "peak_z": 0.48809969127326286}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.8933742243777192, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0069721115537849, "peak_z": 0.05932564126900892}}, "groups_lifted": 1, "lead_group": "Car carriers (ro-ro)", "verdict": "isolated", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0119777972538708, "peak_z": 0.6655750222910718}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.0999710228919153, "peak_z": 0.9194578588272768}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.8532289628180039, "peak_z": 0.18452547197754743}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.2361931933971877, "peak_z": 2.4329547932695093}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0063775510204083, "peak_z": 1.30439152207054}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0368480725623583, "peak_z": 0.9523872005279916}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.2411046202867764, "peak_z": 1.7482689910955294}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.9177355152587351, "peak_z": 0.29206119719838775}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 2.2515067600586414, "peak_z": 2.8379150832684137}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9913473423980222, "peak_z": 0.22304713659148537}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.9659863945578231, "peak_z": 0.6945665128109133}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9023405972558515, "peak_z": 0.18779943829523235}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 9, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 4, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2023-11-08", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 67.847}, "attribution": {"alternatives": ["Pro-Palestine protest action against shipping line ZIM", "DP World cybersecurity incident", "Panama Canal congestion and shipping delays", "Russian missile strike on cargo ship in Black Sea", "Maersk workforce reduction announcement"], "confidence": "medium", "single_cause": false}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "naming step found more than one plausible cause in the headlines (alternatives: ['Pro-Palestine protest action against shipping line ZIM', 'DP World cybersecurity incident', 'Panama Canal congestion and shipping delays', 'Russian missile strike on cargo ship in Black Sea', 'Maersk workforce reduction announcement']) \u2014 attribution.confidence is low; label may be an honest compound", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (131/740 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.0859375, "freight_markets": 0.140625, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.7578125, "human_drama": 0.0078125, "pollution_event": 0.0, "safety_failure": 0.0, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.0078125}, "buckets": {"people": 0.0077864293659621695, "planet": 0.00333704115684093, "politics": 0.7552836484983318, "price": 0.140155728587319, "progress": 0.09343715239154604}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.515625, "mostly acted upon": 0.359375, "mostly actor": 0.1171875, "neutral": 0.0078125, "primary actor": 0.0}, "acted_upon_share": 0.515625, "trade_share": 0.0546875, "strongly_negative_share": 0.0, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2023-11-09", "source": "aljazeera.com", "tier": "core", "title": "Pro-Palestine activists in Melbourne disrupt Israeli shipping company"}, {"date": "2023-11-08", "source": "standard.net.au", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Pro-Palestine protesters block Israeli shipping line"}, {"date": "2023-11-11", "source": "haberler.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Pro-Palestinian Protesters In Australia Prevent Israeli Cargo Ship From Docking At Sydney Port"}, {"date": "2023-11-11", "source": "dailymail.co.uk", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Botany: Pro-Palestine protestors block major port to prevent entry of Israeli cargo ship"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2023-10-22", "2023-10-23", "2023-10-24", "2023-10-25", "2023-10-26", "2023-10-27", "2023-10-28", "2023-10-29", "2023-10-30", "2023-10-31", "2023-11-01", "2023-11-02", "2023-11-03", "2023-11-04", "2023-11-05", "2023-11-06", "2023-11-07", "2023-11-08", "2023-11-09", "2023-11-10", "2023-11-11", "2023-11-12", "2023-11-13", "2023-11-14", "2023-11-15", "2023-11-16", "2023-11-17", "2023-11-18", "2023-11-19", "2023-11-20", "2023-11-21", "2023-11-22", "2023-11-23", "2023-11-24", "2023-11-25", "2023-11-26", "2023-11-27", "2023-11-28", "2023-11-29", "2023-11-30", "2023-12-01", "2023-12-02", "2023-12-03", "2023-12-04", "2023-12-05", "2023-12-06", "2023-12-07", "2023-12-08", "2023-12-09", "2023-12-10", "2023-12-11"], "ratio": [0.7, 1.03, 1.24, 1.1, 1.14, 0.99, 0.6, 0.79, 0.98, 0.89, 0.97, 0.83, 0.92, 0.72, 0.83, 1.04, 1.08, 1.02, 1.22, 1.06, 0.82, 0.84, 1.04, 1.02, 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