{"id": "2024-06-09-gdelt-c-vessel", "slug": "2024-cargo-ships-hit-in-suspected-houthi-attacks-off-yemen", "url": "/incidents/2024-cargo-ships-hit-in-suspected-houthi-attacks-off-yemen/", "label": "Cargo ships hit in suspected Houthi attacks off Yemen", "summary": "Multiple cargo ships were struck by projectiles in suspected Houthi attacks off the coast of Yemen on June 9, 2024, with at least two vessels catching fire. The incidents occurred amid ongoing Red Sea shipping disruptions.", "incident_type": "attack", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["cargo ship"], "location": "off Yemen; off Cambodia's Sihanoukville", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2024-06-09", "peak_level": 62.143, "peak_level_date": "2024-06-09", "onset_date": "2024-06-09", "end_date": "2024-06-09", "duration_days": 1, "composite": {"excess_area": 0.0, "highest_since": "2024-05-31", "peak": 62.143, "peak_z": -0.9789621506166508, "percentile_of_peak_day": 59.2561, "rank_of_peak_day": 954}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 18.710000000000008, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.48298928569630095, "share_at_peak": 0.9664755410919985, "share_of_excess": 0.9664755410919985, "share_peak3": 0.9744925029968361}, "research": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -3.547094846672231, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "search": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.8165687497423691, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 0.6490000000000009, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.023491775607331882, "share_at_peak": 0.03352445890800148, "share_of_excess": 0.03352445890800148, "share_peak3": 0.02550749700316391}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "media-led", "verdict_at_peak": "media-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": null, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": -1.5194165539229352, "c_tanker": 0.6116488272798756, "c_teu": -0.6744907594765952, "c_vessel": 8.684159881091865}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.5878661087866108, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.5854166666666667, "peak_z": -1.7168219665440263}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.2635774788241156, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.26397205588822353, "peak_z": -3.503050718326844}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.6623376623376623, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.6607287449392713, "peak_z": -1.1565315047152247}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.6954177897574124, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.6935483870967742, "peak_z": -1.2234123785922169}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.6436244745446054, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.6403345724907064, "peak_z": -1.2616384010895234}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.6027689030883919, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.6002120890774125, "peak_z": -1.4768362733638254}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.5878661087866108, "peak_z": -1.7168219665440263}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.7265221878224974, "peak_z": -1.0305626174616387}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.549618320610687, "peak_z": -1.7428641499272746}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.6304347826086957, "peak_z": -1.3950579312435858}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.7087378640776699, "peak_z": -1.1656707477166153}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.7156673114119922, "peak_z": -1.198139446147871}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.6230088495575221, "peak_z": -1.6682552393333063}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.6333601933924254, "peak_z": -1.417188600557799}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.2635774788241156, "peak_z": -3.503050718326844}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.6284953395472703, "peak_z": -1.4001466780782108}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.9879518072289156, "peak_z": -0.05204091322361459}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.5603271983640081, "peak_z": -2.093441116093983}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 0, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": null, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2024-06-09", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 67.623}, "attribution": {"alternatives": ["Houthi attacks on cargo ships off Yemen", "Thai cargo ship sinking off Cambodia"], "confidence": "medium", "single_cause": false}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "naming step found more than one plausible cause in the headlines (alternatives: ['Houthi attacks on cargo ships off Yemen', 'Thai cargo ship sinking off Cambodia']) \u2014 attribution.confidence is low; label may be an honest compound", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (31/184 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.0, "freight_markets": 0.0, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.03225806451612903, "human_drama": 0.3225806451612903, "pollution_event": 0.0, "safety_failure": 0.45161290322580644, "seafarer_victim": 0.0, "shady_industry": 0.0, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.06451612903225806, "technology_frontier": 0.12903225806451613}, "buckets": {"people": 0.7826086956521738, "planet": 0.0, "politics": 0.02766798418972333, "price": 0.07905138339920952, "progress": 0.11067193675889332}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.8064516129032258, "mostly acted upon": 0.0967741935483871, "mostly actor": 0.0967741935483871, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.0}, "acted_upon_share": 0.8064516129032258, "trade_share": 0.0, "strongly_negative_share": 0.0, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2024-06-09", "source": "theglobeandmail.com", "tier": "core", "title": "Cargo ship hit by missile southeast of Yemen's Aden, British security firm says"}, {"date": "2024-06-09", "source": "maritime-executive.com", "tier": "trade", "title": "Houthi Rebels Hit Three Merchant Ships in Two Days"}, {"date": "2024-06-09", "source": "juneesoutherncross.com.au", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Cargo ship hit in suspected Yemen Houthi attack"}, {"date": "2024-06-09", "source": "yahoo.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "2 cargo ships caught fire after being hit by projectiles in suspected Houthi attacks off the coast of Yemen"}, {"date": "2024-06-09", "source": "winnipegfreepress.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Cargo ship hit by missile in Gulf of Aden in suspected attack by Yemen Houthi rebels. No one hurt \u2013 Winnipeg Free Press"}, {"date": "2024-06-09", "source": "businessinsider.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Yemen: 2 Cargo Ships Caught Fire in Suspected Attack by Houthi Rebels"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2024-05-26", "2024-05-27", "2024-05-28", "2024-05-29", "2024-05-30", "2024-05-31", "2024-06-01", "2024-06-02", "2024-06-03", "2024-06-04", "2024-06-05", "2024-06-06", "2024-06-07", "2024-06-08", "2024-06-09", "2024-06-10", "2024-06-11", "2024-06-12", "2024-06-13", "2024-06-14", "2024-06-15", "2024-06-16", "2024-06-17", "2024-06-18", "2024-06-19", "2024-06-20", "2024-06-21", "2024-06-22", "2024-06-23", "2024-06-24", "2024-06-25", "2024-06-26", "2024-06-27", "2024-06-28", "2024-06-29", "2024-06-30", "2024-07-01", "2024-07-02", "2024-07-03", "2024-07-04", "2024-07-05", "2024-07-06", "2024-07-07", "2024-07-08", "2024-07-09"], "ratio": [0.61, 0.84, 0.94, 1.14, 0.85, 0.78, 0.56, 0.65, 0.78, 0.7, 0.71, 0.69, 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