{"id": "2024-04-27-gdelt-c-tanker", "slug": "2024-houthis-attack-tanker-andromeda-star-in-red-sea", "url": "/incidents/2024-houthis-attack-tanker-andromeda-star-in-red-sea/", "label": "Houthis attack tanker Andromeda Star in Red Sea", "summary": "On April 27, 2024, Yemen's Houthi rebels launched a ballistic missile attack on the Panama-flagged oil tanker Andromeda Star in the Red Sea, causing damage to the vessel. The incident occurred amid ongoing Houthi attacks on commercial shipping in the region and heightened geopolitical tensions affecting maritime trade routes.", "incident_type": "attack", "vessels": ["Andromeda Star"], "vessel_types": ["oil tanker"], "location": "Red Sea", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2024-04-27", "peak_level": 82.191, "peak_level_date": "2024-04-29", "onset_date": "2024-04-27", "end_date": "2024-05-01", "duration_days": 5, "composite": {"excess_area": 0.0, "highest_since": "2024-04-19", "peak": 82.191, "peak_z": -0.3529241316685919, "percentile_of_peak_day": 80.8893, "rank_of_peak_day": 448}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 6.205500000000001, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.12672642020169841, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.1463535432745883, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "research": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.7214461196519253, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "search": {"excess": 0.535499999999999, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.042966441771459425, "share_at_peak": 0.04772514593823795, "share_of_excess": 0.018944240373106568, "share_peak3": 0.09759842405631676}, "social": {"basis": "x_only", "excess": 35.39200000000001, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.3396427465029809, "share_at_peak": 0.9522748540617622, "share_of_excess": 0.8347022163523051, "share_peak3": 0.9024015759436832}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "social-led", "verdict_at_peak": "social-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.4270734032411821, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": -0.6796920975552692, "c_tanker": 11.144818760670587, "c_teu": 1.0802978814329913, "c_vessel": 5.81218778975407}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.7528531337698784, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9324577861163227, "peak_z": -0.18661200039852507}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.8829447852760737, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0702012763868434, "peak_z": 0.18059903315382025}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.8781083142639207, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0251141552511416, "peak_z": 0.10547375684683273}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.8641975308641975, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.108910891089109, "peak_z": 0.35194370637139516}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.8941666666666667, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0283806343906512, "peak_z": 0.13147563162969483}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.7897978825794033, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.8494208494208494, "peak_z": -0.4410833816128906}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.7528531337698784, "peak_z": -0.18661200039852507}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.8501845018450185, "peak_z": 0.17261783968416472}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.8496551724137931, "peak_z": 1.5739535438117924}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.8879742765273312, "peak_z": 0.04857142209448646}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.7368421052631579, "peak_z": -0.11261456787648716}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.9156626506024096, "peak_z": 0.5925374026338838}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.9747899159663865, "peak_z": 0.9658881537777749}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.8008915304606241, "peak_z": -0.4132129378392872}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.8829447852760737, "peak_z": 0.18059903315382025}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.8543038705950318, "peak_z": -0.24073490150075605}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.0380952380952382, "peak_z": 0.8774688725764751}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.7746478873239436, "peak_z": -0.1568151231844405}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 0, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": null, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2024-04-29", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 137.35}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["social = X only before Bluesky (2024-07-01); not comparable with today's series", "tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (223/555 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.09174311926605505, "freight_markets": 0.06880733944954129, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.6926605504587156, "human_drama": 0.01834862385321101, "pollution_event": 0.0, "safety_failure": 0.01834862385321101, "seafarer_victim": 0.03669724770642202, "shady_industry": 0.03669724770642202, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.03669724770642202}, "buckets": {"people": 0.0879320800485141, "planet": 0.0018192844147968436, "politics": 0.7077016373559739, "price": 0.07822922983626428, "progress": 0.12431776834445092}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.7064220183486238, "mostly acted upon": 0.10550458715596331, "mostly actor": 0.16972477064220184, "neutral": 0.0, "primary actor": 0.01834862385321101}, "acted_upon_share": 0.7064220183486238, "trade_share": 0.05963302752293578, "strongly_negative_share": 0.3532110091743119, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2024-04-27", "source": "telegraphindia.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Oil tankers | India-Bound Oil Tanker Andromeda Star Hit By Missiles In Red Sea, Say Yemen's Houthis"}, {"date": "2024-04-27", "source": "menafn.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Yemen's Houthis Attack Andromeda Star Oil Tanker In Red Sea"}, {"date": "2024-04-27", "source": "indiatimes.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Andromeda Star: Ballistic missiles fired by Yemen's Houthi rebels damage Panama-flagged oil tanker en route to India from Russia in Red Sea"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2024-04-13", "2024-04-14", "2024-04-15", "2024-04-16", "2024-04-17", "2024-04-18", "2024-04-19", "2024-04-20", "2024-04-21", "2024-04-22", "2024-04-23", "2024-04-24", "2024-04-25", "2024-04-26", "2024-04-27", "2024-04-28", "2024-04-29", "2024-04-30", "2024-05-01", "2024-05-02", "2024-05-03", "2024-05-04", "2024-05-05", "2024-05-06", "2024-05-07", "2024-05-08", "2024-05-09", "2024-05-10", "2024-05-11", "2024-05-12", "2024-05-13", "2024-05-14", 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