{"id": "2025-07-07-gdelt-c-vessel", "slug": "2025-houthi-attack-sinks-bulk-carrier-magic-seas", "url": "/incidents/2025-houthi-attack-sinks-bulk-carrier-magic-seas/", "label": "Houthi attack sinks bulk carrier Magic Seas", "summary": "On July 7, 2025, Yemen's Houthi rebels attacked the bulk carrier Magic Seas in the Red Sea. The vessel was hit and subsequently sank. At least three seafarers were killed in the attack, and rescue operations were coordinated to locate survivors among the crew.", "incident_type": "attack", "vessels": ["Magic Seas"], "vessel_types": ["bulk carrier"], "location": "Red Sea", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2025-07-07", "peak_level": 86.133, "peak_level_date": "2025-07-09", "onset_date": "2025-07-06", "end_date": "2025-07-14", "duration_days": 9, "composite": {"excess_area": 217.0555, "highest_since": "2025-05-27", "peak": 86.133, "peak_z": 2.766646832944857, "percentile_of_peak_day": 82.9842, "rank_of_peak_day": 399}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 649.5015000000001, "lead_days": 0, "peak_z": 1.9756334442084797, "share_at_peak": 0.6672250949059533, "share_of_excess": 0.592018029391189, "share_peak3": 0.6071610699183617}, "research": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.2415532508117057, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, "share_peak3": 0.0}, "search": {"excess": 35.436999999999976, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.4803852564631252, "share_at_peak": 0.028764423825555534, "share_of_excess": 0.048451026458450556, "share_peak3": 0.028526041690171283}, "social": {"basis": "x_bluesky", "excess": 394.4405, "lead_days": 0, "peak_z": 2.6272390869156927, "share_at_peak": 0.30401048126849123, "share_of_excess": 0.35953094415036035, "share_peak3": 0.3643128883914671}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "high", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "media-led", "verdict_at_peak": "media-led", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.617722602739726, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 2.0491512651470547, "c_tanker": 5.839200687419857, "c_teu": 0.8693690046515143, "c_vessel": 31.166834779948655}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 1.2898948331047095, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.7037037037037037, "peak_z": 1.9405006155075297}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.971252566735113, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.2801635991820042, "peak_z": 0.8097806225977687}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.8259874492432632, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9564068692206077, "peak_z": -0.10442269979811866}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.9436763952892985, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.261467889908257, "peak_z": 0.894082159461339}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.8718741943799948, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0401234567901234, "peak_z": 0.12852103969944167}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.8357283741899126, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0202360876897134, "peak_z": 0.08387754001524704}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.2898948331047095, "peak_z": 1.9405006155075297}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.897119341563786, "peak_z": 0.5099853144856413}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.7015873015873015, "peak_z": -0.3851016471034762}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.7694715300349103, "peak_z": -0.36883615883799975}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0524109014675052, "peak_z": 1.5453934122483244}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.93125, "peak_z": 0.766834912308693}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.8729121278140886, "peak_z": 0.2739468759499164}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.8563551144196305, "peak_z": 0.2281543679120483}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.971252566735113, "peak_z": 0.8097806225977687}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.8620400335610692, "peak_z": 0.04526039216776}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.8856682769726248, "peak_z": 1.1813446866330155}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.8395061728395061, "peak_z": -0.04058211054322076}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 6, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 3, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2025-07-09", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 66.399}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (607/881 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.001658374792703151, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.01824212271973466, "freight_markets": 0.04643449419568822, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.7943615257048093, "human_drama": 0.05140961857379768, "pollution_event": 0.003316749585406302, "safety_failure": 0.02155887230514096, "seafarer_victim": 0.01824212271973466, "shady_industry": 0.013266998341625208, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.003316749585406302, "technology_frontier": 0.028192371475953566}, "buckets": {"people": 0.23429672447013528, "planet": 0.008092485549133001, "politics": 0.671868978805394, "price": 0.0445086705202315, "progress": 0.041233140655106235}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.8656716417910447, "mostly acted upon": 0.06633499170812604, "mostly actor": 0.04643449419568822, "neutral": 0.011608623548922056, "primary actor": 0.009950248756218905}, "acted_upon_share": 0.8656716417910447, "trade_share": 0.03482587064676617, "strongly_negative_share": 0.5887230514096186, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2025-07-08", "source": "maritime-executive.com", "tier": "trade", "title": "Three Seafarers Dead in Houthi Attack on Greek-Owned Bulker"}, {"date": "2025-07-07", "source": "yahoo.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Yemen's Houthi rebels claim attack on bulk carrier Magic Seas, which is now sinking in the Red Sea"}, {"date": "2025-07-07", "source": "arabnews.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Houthis claim attack on bulk carrier Magic Seas, which is sinking in Red Sea"}, {"date": "2025-07-07", "source": "goskagit.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Yemen's Houthi rebels say bulk carrier Magic Seas that they attacked Sunday has sunk"}, {"date": "2025-07-07", "source": "sentinelandenterprise.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "Houthi rebels say bulk carrier Magic Seas they attacked Sunday sunk"}], "headlines_note": null}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2025-06-22", "2025-06-23", "2025-06-24", "2025-06-25", "2025-06-26", "2025-06-27", "2025-06-28", "2025-06-29", "2025-06-30", "2025-07-01", "2025-07-02", "2025-07-03", "2025-07-04", "2025-07-05", "2025-07-06", "2025-07-07", "2025-07-08", "2025-07-09", 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