{"id": "2026-01-25-gdelt-c-tanker", "slug": "2026-us-seizes-seventh-sanctioned-tanker-in-caribbean", "url": "/incidents/2026-us-seizes-seventh-sanctioned-tanker-in-caribbean/", "label": "France seizes suspected Russian shadow fleet tanker", "summary": "France detained a suspected Russian 'shadow fleet' oil tanker in the Mediterranean Sea on 22 January 2026, with British assistance in what was described as a commando-style operation. The seizure was part of efforts to counter sanctions evasion by Russian-linked vessels.", "incident_type": "seizure", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["tanker"], "location": "Mediterranean Sea", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2026-01-25", "peak_level": 87.014, "peak_level_date": "2026-01-24", "onset_date": "2026-01-24", "end_date": "2026-01-25", "duration_days": 2, "composite": {"excess_area": 10.509999999999991, "highest_since": "2026-01-24", "peak": 87.014, "peak_z": 0.16616923030416922, "percentile_of_peak_day": 83.4972, "rank_of_peak_day": 387}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 7.0364999999999895, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.1703086737904137, "share_at_peak": 0.17139934109966917, "share_of_excess": 0.0767692857396128, "share_peak3": 0.1528574921561052}, "research": {"excess": 4.816499999999998, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.3257336958910647, "share_at_peak": 0.07461041452260184, "share_of_excess": 0.07882312188549251, "share_peak3": 0.07443907519500083}, "search": {"excess": 26.74599999999998, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.3253915252031274, "share_at_peak": 0.5035472222053066, "share_of_excess": 0.43770439488204754, "share_peak3": 0.49439215181226165}, "social": {"basis": "x_bluesky", "excess": 37.27749999999999, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 0.3818732273234846, "share_at_peak": 0.2504430221724224, "share_of_excess": 0.40670319749284717, "share_peak3": 0.2783112808366324}}, "signature": {"basis_signals": 4, "confidence": "low", "method_note": "integrated favours slow-decaying/centred-smoothed signals (search); peak-day favours fast signals (social)", "verdict": "mixed", "verdict_at_peak": "mixed", "verdicts_disagree": false}, "spread": {"article_breadth": 0.0, "breadth": 0.0, "concentration": 0.8936170212765957, "controls_detail": null, "controls_moved": false, "gdelt": {"c_industry": 0.34376835427423874, "c_tanker": 6.635037030360111, "c_teu": 5.600003406471543, "c_vessel": 0.9842435166218932}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.8422330097087378, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.912621359223301, "peak_z": -0.358890984989505}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.8937007874015748, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.8955613577023499, "peak_z": -0.35242413848550364}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.9087893864013267, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9486754966887417, "peak_z": -0.15910939855836126}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.9735449735449735, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9690721649484536, "peak_z": -0.019270408631481672}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 1.018018018018018, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.1498194945848375, "peak_z": 0.43530037902546415}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.8709122203098106, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.8996539792387543, "peak_z": -0.347823513474485}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.8422330097087378, "peak_z": -0.358890984989505}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9289719626168225, "peak_z": 0.006659216029395987}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.5925925925925926, "peak_z": -1.813795339187023}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.8618705035971223, "peak_z": -0.4442637681459503}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 1.0898876404494382, "peak_z": 0.3042086662506783}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.954225352112676, "peak_z": -0.05666249311681057}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.6639004149377593, "peak_z": -1.3757165739652222}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.8578088578088578, "peak_z": -0.35582208030797197}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.8937007874015748, "peak_z": -0.35242413848550364}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 1.1222222222222222, "peak_z": 0.9000147762135061}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.1296296296296295, "peak_z": 0.7189127545461453}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.9420849420849421, "peak_z": -0.1454032250893344}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 0, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": null, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2026-01-24", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 105.19}, "attribution": {"alternatives": [], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": true}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["tier C: only a Wikipedia article, GDELT sub-vocabulary term, or social per-term query fired \u2014 not yet confirmed as a real maritime incident (Phase C naming/is_maritime_incident does that).", "coverage scored on title only (no excerpt) \u2014 measured ~8pp frame precision cost vs title+excerpt (docs/HANDOVER-incidents.md \u00a72.3)", "coverage filtered to articles matching this incident specifically (66/191 kept) \u2014 see coverage.filter.terms"], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, "frames": {"climate_villain": 0.0, "cost_of_living": 0.0, "engine_of_trade": 0.045454545454545456, "freight_markets": 0.21212121212121213, "geopolitical_pawn": 0.30303030303030304, "human_drama": 0.015151515151515152, "pollution_event": 0.015151515151515152, "safety_failure": 0.030303030303030304, "seafarer_victim": 0.015151515151515152, "shady_industry": 0.30303030303030304, "supply_chain_fragility": 0.0, "technology_frontier": 0.06060606060606061}, "buckets": {"people": 0.05638474295190713, "planet": 0.011608623548922057, "politics": 0.6583747927031509, "price": 0.19237147595356546, "progress": 0.08126036484245441}, "agency_bands": {"entirely acted upon": 0.5606060606060606, "mostly acted upon": 0.15151515151515152, "mostly actor": 0.22727272727272727, "neutral": 0.015151515151515152, "primary actor": 0.045454545454545456}, "acted_upon_share": 0.5606060606060606, "trade_share": 0.015151515151515152, "strongly_negative_share": 0.045454545454545456, "display_headlines": [{"date": "2026-01-21", "source": "mankatofreepress.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "US forces in Caribbean Sea seize seventh sanctioned oil tanker as Trump administration moves to control Venezuela crude"}, {"date": "2026-01-21", "source": "sputnikglobe.com", "tier": "mainstream_other", "title": "US Military Seizes Tanker Sagitta in Caribbean Sea - Southern Command"}], "headlines_note": "fewer than three independent outlets"}, "wiki_rel": {"articles": {"Bulk carrier": {"dates": ["2026-01-10", "2026-01-11", "2026-01-12", "2026-01-13", "2026-01-14", "2026-01-15", "2026-01-16", "2026-01-17", "2026-01-18", "2026-01-19", "2026-01-20", "2026-01-21", "2026-01-22", "2026-01-23", "2026-01-24", "2026-01-25", "2026-01-26", "2026-01-27", "2026-01-28", "2026-01-29", "2026-01-30", "2026-01-31", "2026-02-01", "2026-02-02", "2026-02-03", "2026-02-04", "2026-02-05", "2026-02-06", "2026-02-07", "2026-02-08", "2026-02-09", "2026-02-10", "2026-02-11", "2026-02-12", "2026-02-13", "2026-02-14", "2026-02-15", "2026-02-16", "2026-02-17", "2026-02-18", "2026-02-19", "2026-02-20", "2026-02-21", "2026-02-22", "2026-02-23", 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