{"id": "2026-06-14-c-industry", "slug": "2026-us-strikes-tanker-off-oman-uk-intercepts-russian-shadow-fleet", "url": "/incidents/2026-us-strikes-tanker-off-oman-uk-intercepts-russian-shadow-fleet/", "label": "US strikes tanker off Oman; UK intercepts Russian shadow fleet", "summary": "A spike in maritime attention driven by two major geopolitical incidents: a US military strike on a tanker violating Iran's port blockade off the Oman coast that killed Indian seafarers, and a UK interception of a Russian 'shadow fleet' oil tanker in the English Channel. Both events generated significant media coverage focused on geopolitical tensions, seafarer safety, and sanctions enforcement.", "incident_type": "attack", "vessels": [], "vessel_types": ["tanker", "oil tanker"], "location": "Strait of Hormuz / Oman coast; English Channel", "tier": "C", "kind": "incident", "shape": "spike", "peak_date": "2026-06-14", "peak_level": 206.159, "peak_level_date": "2026-06-14", "onset_date": "2026-06-10", "end_date": "2026-06-19", "duration_days": 10, "composite": {"excess_area": 69.1995, "highest_since": "2026-05-10", "peak": 206.159, "peak_z": 0.7210443256457849, "percentile_of_peak_day": 98.1366, "rank_of_peak_day": 46}, "signals": {"news": {"excess": 1271.1064999999999, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": 2.0141038369482143, "share_at_peak": 0.7774497545038432, "share_of_excess": 0.9039998463826856, "share_peak3": 0.8382186412248626}, "research": {"excess": 0.0, "lead_days": null, "peak_z": -0.6038318689738698, "share_at_peak": 0.0, "share_of_excess": 0.0, 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7.240946564992008}, "groups": {"Bulk carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.6997635933806147, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.7953488372093023, "peak_z": -0.7769695954427469}, "Car carriers (ro-ro)": {"excess_ratio": 0.8427656850192061, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.0127877237851663, "peak_z": 0.03817659828479296}, "Container & cargo ships": {"excess_ratio": 0.7451191391237509, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.9047619047619048, "peak_z": -0.30139663074193834}, "Gas carriers": {"excess_ratio": 0.6376344086021506, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.7142857142857143, "peak_z": -0.5311785072520765}, "Shipping in general": {"excess_ratio": 0.9559649122807018, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 1.6357267950963224, "peak_z": 1.6019305829912105}, "Tankers": {"excess_ratio": 0.5254355400696864, "lifted": false, "peak_multiple": 0.5983606557377049, "peak_z": -0.5535061489476943}}, "groups_lifted": 0, "lead_group": null, "verdict": "none", "wiki": {"Bulk carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.6997635933806147, "peak_z": -0.7769695954427469}, "Cargo ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.7627056672760512, "peak_z": -0.24962631205723576}, "Chemical tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.6928571428571428, "peak_z": 0.3783276857086988}, "Container ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.7402144772117962, "peak_z": -0.3304947117304349}, "Gas carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.6283333333333333, "peak_z": -0.3978209665331949}, "LNG carrier": {"excess_ratio": 0.6644549763033175, "peak_z": -0.43884611178749716}, "Maritime transport": {"excess_ratio": 1.1426356589147286, "peak_z": 5.056947928832086}, "Oil tanker": {"excess_ratio": 0.5012476007677543, "peak_z": -0.4569418748365112}, "Roll-on/roll-off": {"excess_ratio": 0.8427656850192061, "peak_z": 0.03817659828479296}, "Ship": {"excess_ratio": 0.9387703889585948, "peak_z": 0.7365471734739275}, "Ship transport": {"excess_ratio": 0.8068965517241379, "peak_z": 1.1906567874615959}, "Tanker (ship)": {"excess_ratio": 0.7501369863013698, "peak_z": 0.8134912985049148}}}, "decay": {"attention_dividend": null, "days_to_baseline": 7, "days_to_baseline_note": null, "dividend_status": "experimental", "half_life_days": 3, "half_life_note": null, "peak_level_date": "2026-06-14", "post_floor_45_90": null, "pre_baseline": 117.933}, "attribution": {"alternatives": ["US military strike on tanker off Oman coast", "UK interception of Russian shadow fleet tanker"], "confidence": "high", "single_cause": false}, "sub_peaks": [], "caveats": ["The Index was high across this window, but no higher than the surrounding period \u2014 the elevation belongs to that wider stretch of news, not to this incident alone, so it is not counted among the incidents that moved the Index.", "Registered in a single underlying series only \u2014 one vessel-type article, news term or social query \u2014 and never moved the Index itself.", "The coverage panels count only articles matched to this incident specifically."], "coverage": {"source": "gdelt-bq", "title_only": true, "insufficient": false, 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